Monday, December 18, 2006
TIME Person of the Year: You

TIME Magazine writes:


Look at 2006 through a different lens and you'll see another story, one that isn't about conflict or great men. It's a story about community and collaboration on a scale never seen before. It's about the cosmic compendium of knowledge Wikipedia and the million-channel people's network YouTube and the online metropolis MySpace. It's about the many wresting power from the few and helping one another for nothing and how that will not only change the world, but also change the way the world changes.
...
Who are these people? Seriously, who actually sits down after a long day at work and says, I'm not going to watch Lost tonight. I'm going to turn on my computer and make a movie starring my pet iguana? I'm going to mash up 50 Cent's vocals with Queen's instrumentals? I'm going to blog about my state of mind or the state of the nation or the steak-frites at the new bistro down the street? Who has that time and that energy and that passion?

The answer is, you do. And for seizing the reins of the global media, for founding and framing the new digital democracy, for working for nothing and beating the pros at their own game, TIME's Person of the Year for 2006 is you.

Marketing Online

The New York Times has a story about what P&G is doing:


Procter is joining a growing list of mainstay marketers trying to reach consumers in nontraditional ways, including podcasts, blogs, video games, e-mail messages, cellphones, video-on-demand and “pop-up” retail stores that stay open only for a short time.

Marketers are eager to experiment with those new methods because it is increasingly difficult to get the attention of busy, jaded consumers with conventional television commercials and print advertisements. Also, nontraditional campaigns can use technology that enables them to be aimed more precisely at the audiences that would most appreciate them — and avoid those who might not get the joke.

RSS Reader for Rich Media

SplashCast reviews 10 RSS Readers. The dream: "If I could piece together the various options available to me now, what I’d like is this. I’d like an online reader with the speed and media handling of Google Reader and the river of news functionality of Newsgator Online. I’d like it synced with a desktop reader that combines the stability, 3rd party tagging and river of news of NetNewsWire with the aesthetics of FeedDemon and the media handling of RSSOwl. I don’t believe that anyone has yet nailed the cross platform mobile reader that syncs with web and desktop readers."

VC Business Changing

Robert Cringely writes that AJAX, Google, and YouTube are forcing venture capitalists to adapt.


The old model was for top firms (those run by intelligent people) to look at 800 deals per year and invest in two to six, pumping them with enough money to assure success while also killing off the founders and pushing for an early IPO and VC cash-out. The other VC firms just watched what the top firms were doing, then bought in on B or C rounds where the risks and returns were proportionally lower.

The new model is venture capital masquerading as a combination of hedge funds and investment bankers. Seed rounds are the only rounds and they are limited to angels, friends, and family. Very few companies go public and those that do are unique in their niches. Acquisition has always been the other exit strategy, but if the VCs don't have a piece of the company being acquired, they can't enjoy the benefits of a sale, so what's to do? The VCs start acquiring companies, that's what, in a classic hedge fund maneuver called a "roll-up."


A related story on Founders Fund from San Francisco Chronicle.

Office 2007

Guardian has an interview with Jeff Raikes of Microsoft:


If you poll Office users, there's a couple of things that really stand out. One is that they really see that Office is very important to what they do in their jobs, so they care a lot about it. The second thing is that they'd like to be able to do even more. They recognise there's a lot of capability in the product that they're not getting to today. So the research that we put into designing the user experience was to address that issue: to help folks get to more capability and get things done faster and easier. Our research shows they can use 65% fewer keystrokes and less mouse-travel.

People want a results-oriented interface: they want to get things done. So that's the most notable step with Office 2007.

TECH TALK: Best of Tech Talk 2006: Entrepreneurship and Vision

The other topic I like to write about is on Entrepreneurship. Last month, I wrote about my fifteen years as an entrepreneur. In it, I outlined my roller-coaster ride and looked ahead to the bets I am making:


The first bet is that emerging markets like India are going to be the big markets. We do not have to follow the same technology progression as users in developed markets have done. We can leapfrog. Being based in India gives us an important advantage over others because we are closer to the future markets. If we can make ideas work here, it will be easier to roll them out to other emerging markets and even perhaps to the developed markets.

The second bet is around a mobile-centric future. I tend to use the higher-end phones now – a complete switch from two years ago. This gives me a glimpse of what the mass market will expect in a couple of years – or less. There is little doubt that the mobile is a transformational device – and an incredible opportunity. The challenge is to think through how people's lives and businesses can benefit from mobiles which will essentially be multimedia computers, connected to the Internet over high-speed networks, and equipped with high-resolution screens.

The third is a world where broadband is a reality. In India, unfortunately, this still seems distant. But one has to assume it will happen. How can computing be reinvented in a world where connectivity is ubiquitous, cheap and high-speed? What kind of content and services will users want? How will entertainment be different?

This world view of mobility and broadband in emerging markets is at the centre of my thinking, my entrepreneurial activities and my investing. It is a world where the second-order effects will be more powerful than the first-order ones. It is more than just Web 2.0, user-generated content, video, social networking and pay-per-click. The real power of this digital infrastructure will come when it is applied to rethink vertical industries like education and healthcare. That will still take some time, but it is something which will happen sooner than we can imagine.


Envisioning the future is a very important prerequisite to building tomorrow's world – which is what I seek to do as an entrepreneur. I wrote about the importance of vision in a Tech Talk in March. An excerpt:

One of the qualities that an entrepreneur must have is the ability to envision the future. Vision might seem a lofty goal compared with the hard (and sometimes, harsh) realities of running a business. But without vision, navigation and decision-making becomes difficult. Vision helps simplify decision-making – and an entrepreneur has to get hundreds of decisions right to have hopes of being successful. Without a view of the big picture, making even a small decision can appear to be a mountain to be climbed.

I have attached a lot of value to vision in my career as an entrepreneur. Sometimes, one gets it right. At other times, I have been plain wrong or a little early. I feel very uncomfortable without a long-term view of where the world is headed and how the things we are doing will make a big difference. I like to think of vision as a game-changer – one which sets us apart from others because it gives me a clearer perspective on tomorrow’s world. There is no single view of the future. What I endeavour to do as an entrepreneur is to define a view of the future – and work to make that a reality before others.
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So, what is vision? To me, vision is painting a picture of tomorrow’s world. It is about imagining a day in the life of your user – with the products and services that you are making, and keeping in mind the changing competitive landscape. It is about thinking through pain points and crafting breakthrough solutions. It is about giving users an experience they may not even be asking for today. To build a vision of the future, one needs to come at it from multiple dimensions – because technology and competition do not stand still.

Why is vision so important? For an early-stage company, one cannot compete and win the near-term battles, however well one executes. Others have a far better entrenched position. The entrepreneur needs to look beyond to the next cycle of disruptions that will come and build a vision around those. That is the time of dramatic upheaval – and opportunities. The entrepreneur needs to prepare for that. It may take time for these opportunities to manifest. The enterprise needs enough cash – and patience – for the intervening years. It is not easy because today’s pressures and deadlines will tend to take precedence. Entrepreneurs have to make sure vision is not sacrificed at the altar of the present.


Tomorrow: Blue Oceans and Black Swans

Related Entries:  [All]
TECH TALK: Best of Tech Talk 2006: Changing India [December 21, 2006]
TECH TALK: Best of Tech Talk 2006: Video and Social Networks [December 20, 2006]
TECH TALK: Best of Tech Talk 2006: Blue Oceans and Black Swans [December 19, 2006]
TECH TALK: Best of Tech Talk 2006: Network Computing [December 15, 2006]
TECH TALK: Best of Tech Talk 2006: The N3 Web [December 14, 2006]

Me
Entrepreneur, Mumbai, India, Emergic, Netcore, Internet, IndiaWorld, Sify, IIT-Bombay, ColumbiaUniv ... More [Write to Me]

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Affordable Computing and ICT for Development
India's Digital Infrastructure (May 2007)
Envisioning Tomorrow's World (Mar 2007)
Computing for the Next Billion (Jun 2006)
City Wi-Fi Networks (Apr 2006)
Microsoft Live (Nov 2005)
Internet Tea Leaves (Sep 2005)
Next-Generation Networks (Jul 2005)
Disruptions (Jul 2005)
The Mobile Phone Platform (Feb 2005)
Microsoft, Bandwidth and Centralised Computing (Jan 2005)
Computing for Broadband 101 (Jan 2005)
Tomorrow's World (Nov 2004)
CommPuting Grid (Nov 2004)
Massputers, Redux (Oct 2004)
The Network Computer (Oct 2004)
Reinventing Computing (Aug 2004)
Tech Trends (Jul 2004)
Letter to Arun Shourie (Apr 2004)
As India Develops (Mar 2004)
My Mental Model (Dec 2003)
The Next Billion (Sep 2003)
Transforming Rural India 2 (Jul 2003)
The Discovery of India (Jun 2003)
Transforming Rural India (Mar 2003)
The Rs 5,000 PC Ecosystem (Jan 2003)
Disruptive Bridges (Nov 2002)
India Post: Ideas for Tomorrow (Nov 2002)
Technology's Next Markets (Oct 2002)
Server-based Computing (Jul 2002)
India's Next Decade (Apr 2002)
The Digital Divide (Apr 2002)
The Real Wireless Revolution (Mar 2002)
Envisioning a New India (Jan 2002)
Emerging Technologies, Emerging Markets (Jan 2002)
The Indianised Linux Desktop (Nov 2001)
Mass Market Internet (Nov 2000)

Enterprise Software and SMEs
The Coming Age of ASPs (May 2005)
SMEs and Technology (Oct 2003)
The Death and Rebirth of Email (Aug 2003)
IT's Future (Aug 2003)
Rethinking the Desktop (Sep 2002)
Rethinking Enterprise Software (Jun 2002)
Emerging Enterprises and Emergent Networks (Mar 2002)
Web Services (Nov 2001)
Alt.Software (Oct 2001)
The Intelligent, Real-Time Enterprise (June 2001)
Enterprise Software (Mar 2001)
SME Tech Utility (Feb 2001)
Software and SMEs (Jan 2001)
The Intelligent Enterprise: Integrating CRM, SCM and EIP (Jan 2001)

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The Emerging Internet (May 2007)
The Now-New-Near Web (Sep 2006)
Mobile Internet (Aug 2006)
Video on the Internet (Jun 2006)
India Internet and Mobile (Feb 2006)
Rethinking Newspapers (Jan 2006)
Web 2.0 (Oct 2005)
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Web 2.0 Conference (Oct 2004)
Thinking A New Food Portal (Sep 2004)
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India.com 2.0 (Jan 2004)
The Publish-Subscribe Web (Jun 2003)
Constructing the Memex (May 2003)
RSS, Blogs and Beyond (Feb 2003)
Blogging (Feb 2002)
Harnessing Information (Oct 2001)
News Refinery (May 2001)

Entrepreneurship
When Bad Things Happen (Jan 2007)
Ventures and Capital (Dec 2006)
15 Years as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2006)
Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans (May 2006)
Let's Build a Business (Apr 2006)
The Value of Vision (Mar 2006)
Vision and Worries (Oct 2005)
Bootstrapping a Business (Oct 2005)
India Needs More Entrepreneurs (Aug 2005)
Dotcom Nostalgia (Jun 2005)
When Things Go Wrong (Apr 2005)
My Life as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Growth Challenge (Sep 2004)
Creating Options (Sep 2004)
From Employee to Entrepreneur (Aug 2004)
A Tale of Two Summers (Aug 2004)
Crucible Experiences (May 2004)
The Company (May 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Attributes (Nov 2003)
An Entrepreneur's Early Days (Sep 2003)
Reflections on Ideas and Entrepreneurship (Jul 2003)
Entrepreneur's Enigmas (Jan 2003)
The Entrepreneur's Delights (Sep 2002)
Life as an Entrepreneur (Oct 2001)
Leadership Lessons from Lagaan (Aug 2001)
Entrepreneurial Learnings (July 2001)
Entrepreneurship (Mar 2001)
The IndiaWorld Story (1997-8)

Abhishek (my son)
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Letter to a Two-Year-Old (Apr 2007)
Father to Son (Apr 2006)
Letter to a 2005 Baby (Jun 2005)
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Moreover
Facebook (May 2007)
Doing Education Right (May 2007)
Reflections from a Dubai Trip (Apr 2007)
Creating India's New Cities (Apr 2007)
India's Challenges (Mar 2007)
3GSM 2007 (Feb 2007)
Demo 2007 (Feb 2007)
A Tale of Two Covers (Feb 2007)
3GSM Mumbai (Feb 2007)
2007 Tech Trends (Jan 2007)
The Best of 2006 (Dec 2006)
Best of Tech Talk 2006 (Dec 2006)
Cyworld (Nov 2006)
Two 2.0 Events (Nov 2006)
Two-Sided Markets (Nov 2006)
The Rise of YouTube (Oct 2006)
Gandhigiri (Oct 2006)
Education and Reservation (May 2006)
Four Blog Years (May 2006)
Fooled by Randomness (May 2006)
Blue Ocean Strategy (May 2006)
Revolution on the Roads (Apr 2006)
The MySpace Story (Mar 2006)
A Presentation at PC Forum (Mar 2006)
Extreme Competition (Mar 2006)
3GSM World Congress 2006 (Feb 2006)
DEMO 2006 (Feb 2006)
India Rising (Jan 2006)
2006 Tech Trends (Jan 2006)
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Trains, Planes and Mobiles (Dec 2005)
Peter Drucker: Management's Newton (Nov 2005)
India Empowered (Oct 2005)
Rajasthan Ruminations 2 (Sep 2005)
Building a Better India (Sep 2005)
South Korea's IT839 (Jul 2005)
Shift-Ctrl (Jul 2005)
Best of Future Tech (Feb 2005)
Multi-Model Minds (Feb 2005)
The Best of 2004 (Jan 2005)
On Watching Swades (Jan 2005)
The Best of Tech Talk 2004 (Dec 2004)
India Trends (Dec 2004)
An American Journey (Aug 2004)
Black Swans (Aug 2004)
A Train Journey (Jun 2004)
An Agenda for the Next Government (May 2004)
Two Blog Years (May 2004)
Rajasthan Ruminations (Feb 2004)
Technology and the Indian Elections (Feb 2004)
2003-04 (Dec 2003)
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Dear Non-Resident Indian (July 2003)
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