Wednesday, November 15, 2006
Web 3.0

The New York Times writes:


From the billions of documents that form the World Wide Web and the links that weave them together, computer scientists and a growing collection of start-up companies are finding new ways to mine human intelligence.

Their goal is to add a layer of meaning on top of the existing Web that would make it less of a catalog and more of a guide — and even provide the foundation for systems that can reason in a human fashion. That level of artificial intelligence, with machines doing the thinking instead of simply following commands, has eluded researchers for more than half a century.

Referred to as Web 3.0, the effort is in its infancy, and the very idea has given rise to skeptics who have called it an unobtainable vision.

Emerging Technologies | PermaLink | Comments (1)

Sorry, but I still do not like all those concepts. I think it may be honorable to analyze websites and the web's developement, but in fact you can not divide the world wide web into three categories (web, web 2.0, web 3.0).

Posted by Kylie M. Lee
Art of Projections in a Dotcom 2.0 World

Guy Kawasaki writes: "The world is running amok with entrepreneurs pitching every sort of Web 2.0, social networking, user-generated-content startup. It’s the attack of the bull-shiitake startup projections, so I’m losing my hearing; there’s a ringing in my head, and I get dizzy every once in a while. Before the world implodes (again), here is a top-tenish list of ways to create realistic projections in this Dotcom 2.0 world."

Mobiles in Thailand

Stephanie Rieger has a nice overview.

Emerging Markets | PermaLink | Comments (1)

I think seventy percent mobile penetration is good for Thailand. I know high-tech industrial countries which have only a penetracion of about five percent.

Posted by Kylie M. Lee
Social Network Sites Definition

Danah Boyd writes:


A "social network site" is a category of websites with profiles, semi-persistent public commentary on the profile, and a traversable publicly articulated social network displayed in relation to the profile.

To clarify:

1. Profile. A profile includes an identifiable handle (either the person's name or nick), information about that person (e.g. age, sex, location, interests, etc.). Most profiles also include a photograph and information about last login. Profiles have unique URLs that can be visited directly.
2. Traversable, publicly articulated social network. Participants have the ability to list other profiles as "friends" or "contacts" or some equivalent. This generates a social network graph which may be directed ("attention network" type of social network where friendship does not have to be confirmed) or undirected (where the other person must accept friendship). This articulated social network is displayed on an individual's profile for all other users to view. Each node contains a link to the profile of the other person so that individuals can traverse the network through friends of friends of friends....
3. Semi-persistent public comments. Participants can leave comments (or testimonials, guestbook messages, etc.) on others' profiles for everyone to see. These comments are semi-persistent in that they are not ephemeral but they may disappear over some period of time or upon removal. These comments are typically reverse-chronological in display. Because of these comments, profiles are a combination of an individuals' self-expression and what others say about that individual.

One Web

Jo Rabin discusses the desktop and mobile Webs:


I strongly agree with the idea that applications should, where appropriate, be tailored to the user's context and that there is a self-selecting set of applications that appeal while mobile. But how much of that perception is habit, and dare I say it, age? How will younger people see it?

Back in the early days of email, I remember that people said that no-one would want to read a document on-screen. The "paperless office" was a joke, because it introduced volumes of information that often 'needed' to be printed off to be consumed.

All that has changed. People's expectations about where, how and why they wish to consume information changes constantly. Before asserting that there is a complete difference between the mobile experience and the desktop experience, consider how things change - and how absurd it seems today to print off emails before reading them.

TECH TALK: Two 2.0 Events: Web 2.0 Highlights

Read/Write Web had extensive coverage of the various sessions at the Web 2.0 Summit. I have summarised some of the highlights.

Mary Meeker presented a data-filled presentation with some key insights:


- It's tough to succeed on the Web - around 2% of tech companies create close to 100% of the wealth.
- International markets are becoming crucial, as US share of world internet users falls from 37% to around 20% in 2007. China obviously, but also India and Russia are noted by Mary.
- Mobile - entering the "adoption sweet spot" in 2007.
- Growth is still going up - especially outside the US.
- Just as Apple monetized online music, the market for online video is poised for similar growth
- Momentum for online video continues to build
- Effective editing of video will become more important - e.g. Yahoo's The 9.
- Audio search will become more popular
- Only 13% of top 15 online retailers are pure internet plays (Amazon is #1)
- Watch where the younger generation goes

There was a discussion between Ask CEO Jim Lanzone and former and ex-CEO and now senior vice president of the Online Services Group at Microsoft Steve Berkowitz (moderated by John Battelle):

John asks: where is Google vulnerable? Jim says that there hasn't been much competition for Google, until now. He says Google's challenge is to grow "beyond search", which brings the risk that they won't innovate so much in search as they used to. Steve says that backwards compatibility will be Google's greatest challenge. He also mentions that Google expanding their footprint is a risk - as it's a big task and discipline to make sure the focus stays right. Also he says being a public company is a challenge.

Jim points out that the whole search industry will continue to grow - he says Ask is the 7th biggest web property in the US, ahead of Amazon for example.
Steve says that in search "the product is the marketing" - and he thinks Google is in a great position in that respect.

A question from the audience for Steve about live.com, what is his vision for it. Steve says his vision is for "search plus", that live.com will be the way to get to Microsoft's services. He says that search will be center to their product range.


John Battelle spoke with Microsoft’s Ray Ozzie:

John asks if the current web services and online advertising business model is as big a deal as the mid-90's Gates memo on the Internet. Ray said it's as big a deal business-wise. He says they ask themselves what is the best way to deliver value - which John notes is called 'scenario-based design'. He says his message in the memo was: for the experience being delivered via the Internet, which piece will be on PC and which via the browser? So it's an evolution of thinking from the PC era, then the server era.

John asks what Ray thinks of Google. Ray praises Google and says they stay focused on the user. John says Google is proving the advertising model for web services, so he asks Ray what's the zeitgeist on the Microsoft campus. John mentions the office suite. Ray says there are half a billion odd users in the office market, so he says they already have the audience - so his question is how they deliver value to this audience in this era. John asks when Word will be completely web native? Ray says it depends on the scenario of the usage - he doesn't see that it's the right thing to do to take the PC interface and functionality, and port it up to the Web. Ray says the Web is good at universal access, sharing scenarios, etc - and the PC is good at flexible and fast UI, is reliable. He says we're going to a world where we're dropping media items into our documents, but the PC was designed for media editing.

Question from the audience: what will be the theme for software in next generation? (3-5 years). Ray said that on the office side, he thinks the biggest opportunity is mobile devices, smart phones - so a lot of opportunity with those different types of productivity scenarios.


John Battelle spoke with Yahoo co-founder David Filo:

John asks David if they think a lot about Google. David says yes, as Google started out in one area and now they cover a lot of things. He says 12 years ago it was about competing with AOL, Time Warner, etc. So there has never been a shortage of competitors, but they change over time. He says "the next thing" is just as much a threat - MySpace, YouTube etc. He says that in 5 years time things will be very different again, so may be another startup that gets big.

Tomorrow: Web 2.0 Highlights (continued)

Related Entries:  [All]
TECH TALK: Two 2.0 Events: Mobile 2.0 Conference [November 17, 2006]
TECH TALK: Two 2.0 Events: Web 2.0 Core Patterns [November 14, 2006]
TECH TALK: Two 2.0 Events: Web 2.0 Summit [November 13, 2006]

Tech Talk | PermaLink | Comments (14)

Think back to the day when Google first started to take over Yahoo! Google conquered the search market because it provided one service, search, and simply and elegantly displayed the results. The "mess" of links and irrelevant-to-most applications that is the Yahoo! home page was gone on the Google home page. In this sense, Google conquered a very small niche of the Internet market and added to it with AdWords and AdSense. The same could be said of YouTube. Online video was not its invention...I have been watching video clips on various sites for years. However, YouTube also understood the power of doing one thing and one thing only simply and elegantly and in a user-friendly format. That is the power of the Internet...that ability to develop niche markets to their fullest potential. In some ways, the more complex Google becomes, that is the more it tries to do for everyone, the less it will really do for anyone in particular.

Posted by Heidi Hanson

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Me
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Education and Reservation (May 2006)
Four Blog Years (May 2006)
Fooled by Randomness (May 2006)
Blue Ocean Strategy (May 2006)
Revolution on the Roads (Apr 2006)
The MySpace Story (Mar 2006)
A Presentation at PC Forum (Mar 2006)
Extreme Competition (Mar 2006)
3GSM World Congress 2006 (Feb 2006)
DEMO 2006 (Feb 2006)
India Rising (Jan 2006)
2006 Tech Trends (Jan 2006)
The Best of Tech Talk 2005 (Dec 2005)
The Best of 2005 (Dec 2005)
Trains, Planes and Mobiles (Dec 2005)
Peter Drucker: Management's Newton (Nov 2005)
India Empowered (Oct 2005)
Rajasthan Ruminations 2 (Sep 2005)
Building a Better India (Sep 2005)
South Korea's IT839 (Jul 2005)
Shift-Ctrl (Jul 2005)
Best of Future Tech (Feb 2005)
Multi-Model Minds (Feb 2005)
The Best of 2004 (Jan 2005)
On Watching Swades (Jan 2005)
The Best of Tech Talk 2004 (Dec 2004)
India Trends (Dec 2004)
An American Journey (Aug 2004)
Black Swans (Aug 2004)
A Train Journey (Jun 2004)
An Agenda for the Next Government (May 2004)
Two Blog Years (May 2004)
Rajasthan Ruminations (Feb 2004)
Technology and the Indian Elections (Feb 2004)
2003-04 (Dec 2003)
Random Musings (Sep 2003)
Useful Concepts (July 2003)
Dear Non-Resident Indian (July 2003)
Tech's 10X Tsunamis (July 2002)
An Indian in China (Mar 2002)
Disruptive Technologies (Aug 2001)
Innovation (Aug 2001)
Good Books

- My Business Standard columns
- More columns at Tech Samachar

Presentations
- TiE Bangalore (Dec 2004)
- BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2004)
- CIT 2004 (Jan 2004)
- BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2003)
- Pune CSI Open-Source Workshop (Sep 2003)
- Sydney ICT Workshop (Jul 2003)
- Netcore (Mar 2003)
- Emergent Democracy (MP Govt, Feb 2003)
- Vision for Digitally Bridged India (Dec 2002)
- India Post (Nov 2002)
- Open-Source for eGovernance (Oct 2002)
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