Roach on China vs India
SeekingAlpha quotes Stephen Roach of Morgan Stanley:
If India is to services as China is to manufacturing, what role does that leave for the high-cost developed world? Down the road, if India also succeeds in pushing into manufacturing while China makes successful forays into services, the same question becomes all the more threatening to the worlds major industrial economies. Protectionism is the biggest risk in all this. IT-enabled globalization is pushing economic development into manufacturing and services at a breakneck pace. Moreover, IT-enabled connectivity has increasingly transformed once non-tradable services into tradables and has moved rapidly up the value chain and occupational hierarchy in doing so. The result is a mounting sense of economic insecurity in the developed world that has become a lightning rod for political action that, unfortunately, has unleashed an increasingly worrisome protectionist backlash.
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China and India represent the future of Asia and quite possibly the future for the global economy. Yet both economies now need to fine-tune their development strategies by expanding their economic power bases. If these mid-course corrections are well executed and there is good reason to believe that will be the case China and India should play an increasingly powerful role in driving the global growth dynamic for years to come. With that role, however, comes equally important consequences. IT-enabled globalization has introduced an unexpected complication into the process a time compression of economic development that has caught the rich industrial world by surprise. Out of that surprise comes a heightened sense of economic security that has stoked an increasingly dangerous protectionist backlash. This could well pose yet another major challenge to China and India learning how to live with the consequences of their successes.
Reservation in Education
The Economist writes that the Indian government's decision to reserve 27% seats for Other Backward Classes (OBCs) in education institutions is "a quarrel less about educational opportunity than political opportunism."
The government's determination to extend reservations can be blamed on politics. Some close to the prime minister scent an effort by Arjun Singh to embarrass his boss, whose job he is widely reckoned to think should be his. Others see it as a concerted bid by the Congress party to win votes in India's caste-ridden largest state, Uttar Pradesh, where elections are due next year. Either way, the benefits for those justifiably angry at the deprivation and discrimination they suffer in India are likely to be marginal.
Next week's Tech Talk will feature a series of columns by Atanu Dey on this issue.
I am very confused about China vs. India.
Posted by Kylie M. LeeBut: Where I live there are lots of products made in China.
I think we are seeing the roles of the "developed" countries becoming primarily management and marketing. By management I mean developing the networks to bring the goods to market and by marketing I mean developing the customer bases and sales outlets to distribut the goods. What you are seeing in the US, for example, is a widening income gap between those who work in this global economy role and others who have worked in manufacturing and even business services.
Posted by Heidi