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Wednesday, May 24, 2006
Emerging Markets Turbulence
WSJ outlines the reasons for the fall in stock prices in emerging markets like India:
Microsoft's Search Assets
Information Week writes how it intends to tackle Google:
Search Engines
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I am very interesting in which search engine will be the most important one in the future. It's still Google - but I think in general Microsoft is more powerful and they already have a widespead Software (Windows). If Microsoft really works hard and spends some money there is a real chance to displace Google. Posted by Kylie M. Lee
RSS to SMS for Notification
[via Smart Mobs] Marshall Kirkpatrick writes:
Mobile Internet Usage
ClickZ writes about the services driving usage:
Raising Money
Fred Wilson writes:
Entrepreneurship
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So true !
TECH TALK: Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans: My Bets
Placing bets in card games is, arguably, easier than doing the same in business. In business, there are many external factors which play a role in ultimate success or failure. It takes a long time to know whether one has won or not. And even then, success is not permanent – any mistake can be the last for an entrepreneurial venture. In the past few years, I made two bets in Netcore which did not work out. One of them was on thin client software. We created Emergic Freedom on a Linux-based platform a few years ago. My belief was that server-centric computing made a lot of sense in emerging markets like India – both from an affordability and manageability perspective. I tried selling that to companies in India. I failed. There were two key factors which I had not taken into account. I was passionate about open-source and Linux, corporate users couldn’t care less. Their world revolved around Microsoft Windows and Office. They got the ‘real thing’ for zero cost – via piracy. I was, in their eyes, offering an inferior solution for more money. Also, at that time, because the thin clients were not cheap enough, there were no significant savings on the desktop hardware. Out of this failure emerged Novatium, which has built network computers capable of connecting to both Linux and Windows terminal servers, and running applications faster than they would run on most desktops. We had to do the hardware from scratch to present a significant cost savings for companies. Novatium is only now starting to go to market, and early reactions are positive. The second idea that did not work was that of Visual Biz-ic – making software for small- and medium-based enterprises integrate together like Lego blocks. For this to work, we needed to be able to get reliable broadband connectivity – and that is still some way off in the future in India. Also, business processes in SMEs are not all alike, and we’d probably have spent a much larger portion of our time customising these blocks. In addition, the underlying computing infrastructure was missing in most Indian SMEs – computers were still not used by everyone and so the need for electronic workflows was still limited. I think the time for Visual Biz-ic will come – but I was too early, and too optimistic. A year ago, we suspended the project after spending two years of development time internally. The idea of an ASP for SMEs is still something which appeals to me, and it is something that will happen soon enough. My current bets are mostly around the mobile internet, computing as a utility, broadband services (rich content), the EventWeb as the centre of our lives rather than the document-based Web that we see, and mobiles being used for making payments. All of the companies I am involved in have a long road ahead – in each case, the intent is to build the business out rather than sell it at the earliest possible opportunity. Part of the problem with big futuristic bets is that venture capital isn’t easy to come by. I am willing to invest in these ventures – until I believe that either the destination is unreachable or the starting assumptions were wrong. And even then, there will be learning to take ahead. Tomorrow: Convincing Others Related Entries: [All]TECH TALK: Best of Tech Talk 2006: Blue Oceans and Black Swans [December 19, 2006] TECH TALK: Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans: Handling Failure [May 26, 2006] TECH TALK: Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans: Convincing Others [May 25, 2006] TECH TALK: Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans: Bets and Card Games [May 23, 2006] TECH TALK: Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans: An Entrepreneur’s Life [May 22, 2006]
Tech Talk
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I notice that you also advise/ make investments in, companies trying to make products for the next billion, a phrase that is as cliched as it can be already. Many companies have tried and failed - The Simputer, AMD's 5015, etc. Why do you think that a thin client is the answer? Is it disruptive enough? What use is it to the next billion, who are worried about food and health before education? Posted by WizardofID |