Friday, December 16, 2005
Palm CEO on What's Next

The New York Times has an interview with Ed Colligan, the chief executive of Palm. An excerpt:


Q. What's the next killer application in hand-helds?

A. Well, I think the Web has not been exploited to the level that it's going to be on these devices. When you see our next-gen product, it has a high-speed radio in it, literally bringing kind of broadband connection speeds to the device. It totally changes the dynamic of how accessible the Internet is as an information access point wherever you are and whenever you want to get access to it. Everything from looking up the meaning of words, booking a table at OpenTable.com, to doing a Google search on my family history in Ireland as I'm driving through the Irish coast when we're opening our center over there. It is going to become so much more accessible as the performance of those networks continues to improve that a whole new set of applications are going to be delivered via that. I believe you will suddenly see some of the promise - like not only information access, but commerce and other functionalities - that had been promised a while back relative to cellphones will finally come to fruition.

Emerging Technologies | PermaLink | Comments (1)

经编
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烟气分析仪

Posted by sdgfh
Apple's Media Plans

Robert Cringely writes:


...the Mac rumor site Thinksecret.com seems quite sure that Apple will announce a video locker strategy of sorts at the January MacWorld show.
...
Apple's take on enhanced Digital Rights Management, according to Thinksecret, is never actually allowing copyrighted bits to be stored on the user's machine. Instead, when you buy or rent a movie from iTunes, the video will sit on Apple's server and be accessible to the purchaser or renter in accordance with the rules of that particular transaction. If you don't have the bits on your machine, the theory goes, you can't steal them.

Yes and no.

It is a clever plan and one that actually makes a lot of economic sense because Apple isn't saddled with Oboe's task of keeping five million different copies of Louie-Louie on its server. The Apple system can keep only a few copies and simply assign access rights. For storage, Apple's reported plan is a winner, then. It works well for bandwidth, too, in part because the data only ever travels in one direction, unlike Oboe, which has to pay to receive it from the subscriber then pay again to serve it back.

Intel CEO on $100 Laptop

Yahoo News has a story about Criag Barrett pooh-poohing the idea:


"Mr. Negroponte has called it a $100 laptop -- I think a more realistic title should be 'the $100 gadget'," Barrett, chairman of the world's largest chip maker, told a press conference in Sri Lanka. "The problem is that gadgets have not been successful."

Barrett said similar schemes in the past elsewhere in the world had failed and users would not be satisfied with the new machine's limited range of programs.

"It turns out what people are looking for is something is something that has the full functionality of a PC," he said. "Reprogrammable to run all the applications of a grown up PC... not dependent on servers in the sky to deliver content and capability to them, not dependent for hand cranks for power."

Thin Client-Thick Server | PermaLink | Comments (6)

Seems like Mr. Barret was speaking in an emotionally charged state of mind, calling the $100 laptop nothing but a gadget. To look at the whole space called Internet and Technopia, it would mean that the space is nothing but a lot of gadgets inter-connected together. But is that the true definition?

A model, as Mr. Barret defines it, might actually work in the rural sector where there might not be enough money to first buy the laptop and then also buy the software to top it up with necessary applications. "Servers in the sky" might actually be a boon for these sectors, wherein the applications can be provided as low subscription-based offerings and customizable to individual needs. No straight-jacketed whole package, which I might not use fully; but rather a support system that can provide for diverse needs is more realistic.

Sorry Mr. Barret. I would beg to differ.

-Gagan.
http://blog.gagankaul.com

Posted by Gagan Kaul

I agree with Barrett. The $100 laptop is a silly idea on stilts. What school children in most poor countries (those that the laptop is meant for) is pens and paper and be taught how to read and write and a bit of food and clean drinking water and a little less theft of their resources by corrupt government officials. The rich can futz around with gadgets, not the poor. Like the "Simputer", the OLPC $100 gadget will be waste of resources but on a global scale because more powerful people are promoting it.

Posted by Atanu Dey

While i agree with Craig Barret that the $100 laptop is more gimmick than practical Gagan misses the real point behind the statement. Barret's main grouse is that this machine applies a social limiting factor to Moore's law by developing disruptive technology that works on 2 year old silicon. This clearly means that the CPU inside is going to be non-intel and at the volumes Negroponte wants, this could seriously disrupt the conventional notebook market. If the machine is capable of serious computing as claimed i see the commercial demand from normal folk outstripping the so called educational demand. For one who lives in a developing country it is not difficult to see how harebrained the project is. Intel wants M$ longhorn running on a p4 3 Ghz box to be the standard. Not some linux running on 500 Mhz tiawanese silicon. As a friend who works in M$ confided, Longhorn is long on gizmos and very very short on performance. Enter Barret with P5 6 Ghz to the resuce :) An Intel engineer once confided confided that the real problem in performance for intel is not pumping up the clock on the CPU, but getting the FSB performance to scale.

Posted by shiv

I appreciate the points put across by both Atanu and Shiv. But the point in question is that should the schools in the "poor" countries be restricted to basic amenities? Societal ills and government apathy is another side of the problem and needs to be addressed separately. But should that be the only key concern or point of focus?

Where I beg to differ in thought-process is in the way the technology is perceived to be brought to the masses. Would the $100 laptop make economic sense for various NGOs and social organizations? I think that it might, as the price factor would not be a deterrent in this case and the vision of making technology reach remote schools now looks like a more realistic dream. Why should the “gadgets” be restricted to only the “rich”; just because they can afford it cannot mean that technology should not reach out to the poor. Rather than being bound in perceptions of commercial viability, thinking beyond that might make more sense.

“Barret's main grouse is that this machine applies a social limiting factor to Moore's law by developing disruptive technology that works on 2 year old silicon”. Is it really the case or the real problem is AMD chipsets that are being used? Thinking on similar lines, where we see the market for a $100 laptop is not in hi-tech corporations, but rather in remote places that are out of sync with the advances in technology. That is what I meant by subscription-based models wherein technology can reach these places (read schools) and the $100 laptop would prove to be one of them means to access that. I am sure that Negroponte would not be thinking about the profit opportunities in the conventional notebook markets, but rather a means of making a computer reach every nook and corner of the world.

Posted by Gagan


A lot can be done *today* by using a single $800 computer for an entire classroom. Why can't teachers act as news filters (much like Rajesh Jain is for so many of us!), and use the classroom computer to access information relevant for the school children and simply print it out on paper ?

I think the only thing stopping this sort of simple innovation is the right kind of leadership, not the cost of computing.

We need leadership that realizes that the transformative power in information technology lies in the information more than in the technology.

By focussing on the (admittedly important) goal of making computing cheaper tomorrow, we are missing out on a huge opportunity that is waiting for us today.

Sumedh Mungee

Posted by Sumedh Mungee

This is not about toys for the rich. Let me break this down.

1. I am not convinced that portable computers are suitable aides for education. What is the revolutionary capability it brings apart from raising the cost of entry ? The key need is to teach children the 3 R's at the least cost as a social investment. What is the use of a notebook when there are no teachers even to impart the basic alphabet ? Negroponte would have introduced cheap notebooks in the US public schools system if it is such a good idea. To the best of my knowledge there is no 'one notebook for every child' in the US system. The reason this is pushed on 'the developing world' is that it stands a chance of *not* being laughed out of the education boards and pundits can wax elequent about it without the US electorate hectoring them.

2. India has the worlds largest number of children who drop out of school after class 5. The schools lack electricity, benches, roofs, black boards, textbooks, workbooks & teachers. Once we have all these in place we can thing of laptops.

3. This scheme is typical of ivory tower thinking mixed with cynical press grabbing. MIT Media lab was thrown out of the partnership in the Indian version of the media labs for greed (too much of the funds allocated were earmarked as a fee for the brand) and non performance. I think this is a way to counter the bad publicity (not just in the india media labs fiasco). This idea will be flogged and put to death quitely as in the case of the much hyped Indian simputer which is finally finding life in defence applications.

4. The noon meal scheme has been more effective in driving primary education than any other device the government has tried. Boils down to horses for courses. Once these basic issues are taken care of ICT penetration will automagically follow.

IMHO

Posted by shiv
Search and Media

Ramesh Jain writes:


When the amount of information started growing exponentially on the WWW, many people felt the need of tools and environments that will help people find information on the Web. This resulted in attention to organizing all the information on the Web to make it easily available to users. Yahoo, Altavista, Infoseek, Lycos and others started with this goal. There was a period when many companies struggled with the decision whether they wanted to be a search engine or a portal. Since during the twentieth century boom of Internet, the focus was on eyeballs, it appeared that the concept of portals was winning the battle. That continued. Yahoo started considering itself a media company – it is not clear even today whether in their deep heart they feel as a technology company or a media company.
...
Most evolving models in Search and related space on Internet are going towards primarily advertisement revenues. What that means is that all these products/services are going to become media companies like NBC, ABC, CBS, FOX, … All these services will be for serving advertisers not the users of products and services.

Search Engines | PermaLink | Comments (1)

Very rightly written article, it arrests the attention of the reader. It is quite informative also.

Posted by candace
Mobile Email

Mobile Enterprise Weblog (Daniel Taylor) has an excellent Q&A addressing the following questions:


* Is the market for mobile e-mail over-inflated and over-invested?
* What are the demographics of enterprise mobility?
* If the market is so nascent, will larger players like Microsoft and Nokia ultimately supplant RIM?
* Is there a future for a proprietary platform like BlackBerry?
* You mention a “larger mobile enterprise solution” – what do you mean by that?
* Will the Treo beat out BlackBerry?
* Will Nokia’s acquisition of Intellisync cause a shakeout in the mobile e-mail marketplace? Which companies will go out of business?

Software | PermaLink | Comments (1)

Sounds interesting. All questions are brilliantly answered.

Posted by george
TECH TALK: The Best of 2005: Mobility (Part 2)

6. The Pondering Primate on Mobile Opportunities

The Pondering Primate had two stand-out posts – one discussed how Microsoft could beat Google, and the second speculated on how Google could increase its domination. Both are full of fascinating ideas.

In January, TPP wrote about ideas for Microsoft to best Google in the next phase beyond search:


Bill Gates had the vision to see every PC would need an operating system and elected to get a piece of every pc sold w/ DOS/windows. Let the Hardware guys decide what else to put on the pc and how to market it.

Windows and IE was THE platform for the connection to electronic world. It was true visionary thinking and it took many years for the competition to catch up and offer alternatives. MS literally dominated Phase1, the connection of the electronic world.

Phase2 is the mobile PC (cell phone) and the physical world.

Phase 2 is coming and it will take some forward thinking to create the next OS that will be required on every computing device. Phase 2 will be 1000 times larger and more lucrative than Phase 1.

Phase 2 is connecting every physical item to the Internet. People want more, they want interaction, immediate response. Phase 2 will create more killer apps than Phase 1 because you have taken the internet outside the box and have a vast amount of items to search/link. Phase 2 takes the internet in 3-D and creates an infinitesimal amount of data to search/link. But the only way to connect these items is through a unique tollbooth (IP).

Every physical item WILL BE connected to the net. It will be done through a barcode, an RfiD tag, a Zigbee chip, a word, a sound, a fingerprint, a magnetic strip, a phone number.

Phase 2 is different than Phase 1 in many ways. Phase 1 involves surfing the net, sending email, instant messaging. Phase 1 is the communication of computing devices through the Internet. Phase 2 adds an exponential factor. Now take EVERY PHYSICAL ITEM and connect it to the Internet and all of these computing devices. The Internet will now multiply exponentially. The growth curve of data and applications will be a hockey stick.


In April, TPP wrote about the next big idea for Google:

Would Google be able to command more dollars if advertisers knew their site would come up based on location versus guessing the “correct” keywords? YES.

Will Google create a few billion dollar revenue streams from this? YES
Here’s how they do it.

Google unveils a Mobile Words division and mobile search takes off. All generic words are available for sale, except trademarks and brand names. That is another problem that can be resolved with Google’s Mobile Words. They sell, not auction/bid for keywords for a mobile search.

Remember mobile search is really navigation.

How can Google re-sell the same keywords again?

The search for “pizza” on a PC versus “pizza” on a cell phone is completely different. It also is done from a completely different device, and Google can determine this. Google can tell from the server info that a search query was coming from a cell phone.

So a cell phone search query accesses a completely different database, the Google Mobile Words.


7. Financial Times on the Mobile Revolution

In November, Richard Waters of the Financial Times wrote a brilliant article on the impact of mobiles.


Tools such as e-mail and instant messaging may have been around since the dawn of the internet era, but it has taken a wireless communications revolution to turn them into a constant and inescapable fact of life for a growing part of the population. WiFi networks - a low-cost technology that can beam large chunks of data over short distances using part of the radio spectrum that was previously the preserve of gadgets such as garage door openers and baby monitors - assure the digitally addicted of a permanent and ubiquitous connection to the wider world. At the same time, more versatile mobile phones have turned text messages into the communications tool of choice for teenagers in Asia and Europe, if not yet the US, while also bringing e-mail to many handsets. For those in the grip of these new networks, life has changed. There�s no such thing as solitude any more, no fragment of time that cannot be filled with digital chatter.
...
It is hard to deny the extent to which mobile phone communications have already crept into many, if not most, corners of our lives: children texting from the bus stop; suburban streets clogged with housewives on the phone while at the wheel (at least in countries where it is still legal); executives bowed, fetishistically, over their BlackBerries. In equal parts liberating and intrusive, the mobile phone has changed the way many people relate to their work, or to their friends and loved ones. It seems a fair bet that its next incarnation will have a much deeper and wider impact.

Next Week: The Best of 2005 (continued)

Related Entries:  [All]
TECH TALK: The Best of Tech Talk 2005: Emergic Ecosystem and Netcore [December 30, 2005]
TECH TALK: The Best of Tech Talk 2005: Abhishek [December 29, 2005]
TECH TALK: The Best of Tech Talk 2005: SMEEMs, India and Entrepreneurs [December 28, 2005]
TECH TALK: The Best of Tech Talk 2005: Search, Memex and Mirror Worlds [December 27, 2005]
TECH TALK: The Best of Tech Talk 2005: Disruptions and Mobiles [December 26, 2005]

Tech Talk | PermaLink | Comments (2)


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Posted by charles
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