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Wednesday, August 24, 2005
Perfect Search
John Battelle has posted an excerpt from his forthcoming book:
Undervalued Indian Rupee?
The Indian Economy [Blog] discusses the Economist's Big Mac Index and comments: "It’s a pity the Economist does not include the Indian Rupee on the Index. However, since we at IE believe in regular contributions to the human knowledge pool, I have worked this out for you, dear reader. If we assume that a Big Mac or its closest equivalent (the Maharaja burger?) costs Rs 55 in India ($1.26 at an exchange rate of 43.5), then we find the Indian rupee is undervalued by the exact same amount as the RMB Yuan — 59 per cent. This means that you need to add the INR to the RMB stash you’re already hoarding, to cash out at a later date."
Emerging Markets
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Another way to put it is that the benchmark currency (USD) is overvalued by 59 %. In a globalized world efficiency is rewarded or at least should be. As this simplistic index reveals countries with a managed float against a basket of currencies rather than a peg against a single currency seem to be able to handle currency stability better. The fact that both the RMB & INR are not fully convertible has a lot to do with that stability by keeping the Soros's of the world at bay.Now that china has become the funding agency for US debt this 'hedging' should become more interesting :) Hey Rajesh, you should link to that post on emergic some years ago where you said you wanted a Rs. 10,000 computer and I said I expect a rupee to be worth Rs. 10 per dollar at some point, which is equivalent... Karun Posted by Karun PhilipHey Rajesh,
BitTorrent
MercuryNews writes:
Murdoch, WiMAX and The Two Way Web
Om Malik has a post by Robert Young which gives an interesting view on how the media world is changing:
TECH TALK: India Needs More Entrepreneurs: How?
There are three requirements for Indian entrepreneurship to flourish: People with Passion, Constructive Capital, and Big, Bold Ideas. We need people who are willing to leave aside the comforts of the 9-5, Monday-to-Friday job and switch to a 24x7 mode of working and thinking as an entrepreneur. This is not an easy decision – family and financial considerations are paramount. After all, given the way salaries in India are going up, why bother with taking any unnecessary risk? That is why entrepreneurship needs that little extra something – that inner desire to do something different, to make a difference, to change the way things work. During tough times, it is this passion which will make the difference – making one wake up and be ready to battle a new day of challenges. So, people (founders and the initial management team) need to be ready to work without roadmaps – charting out a course that is their very own. The second need is for start-up capital. While India has plenty of capital available for growth, there is little available for early-stage ventures. Even the existing venture capitalists would much rather fund late-stage venture than take risks with the early-stage ventures. Start-ups require what I call “constructive capital” – capital which comes with the promise of mentoring and the belief that the entrepreneur has a right to own a significant portion of the venture that is being created. The way I look at it is that in start-ups, one is betting on the entrepreneurial team – if they fail, the initial valuation discussions are irrelevant, and if they succeed, everyone comes out ahead. The goal should be that the entrepreneurs succeed and there be enough incentive for them to stay the course in building out the venture. One conclusion I have reached is that even for ventures targeted at India, entrepreneurs should not consider raising less than a million dollars (about Rs 4-5 crore). By doing so, they can focus on building the company without having to worry about raising capital again in a few months. They will make mistakes – that is par for the course. Theey need to have enough capital available to allow them to take risks – even if they make a few mistakes, they should be quick to learn and course-correct. Without the latitude for error and limited capital, a start-up will turn to services to supplement the initial capital – and there goes another product dream. The third pre-requisite is the Vision – big, hairy, audacious ideas. Since the entrepreneurs are going to spend at least the next few years of their life working on this, why look at incremental change? Transforming the world, unleashing the next big revolution – that should be the goal, nothing less. This is one area where we in India are not ambitious enough. Vision of course needs to be matched with Execution – but while we are envisioning the future, we must aim to dream big. This quote (via Atanu) by Daniel Burnham, Chicago architect, is worth keeping in mind. “Make no little plans. They have no magic to stir men's blood and probably themselves will not be realized. Make big plans; aim high in hope and work, remembering that a noble, logical diagram once recorded will never die, but long after we are gone will be a living thing, asserting itself with ever-growing insistency. Remember that our sons and grandsons are going to do things that would stagger us. Let your watchword be order and your beacon beauty. Think big." Tomorrow: A Personal View Related Entries: [All]TECH TALK: India Needs More Entrepreneurs: My Dreams [August 26, 2005] TECH TALK: India Needs More Entrepreneurs: A Personal View [August 25, 2005] TECH TALK: India Needs More Entrepreneurs: Why? [August 23, 2005] TECH TALK: India Needs More Entrepreneurs: Start-up! [August 22, 2005]
Tech Talk
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Rajesh: Some twenty five years ago, my niece asked me to suggest some ideas for business for a friend, who has a master’s degree in molecular biology. The friend was under pressure to run the family’s huge (local) vegetable oil mill business. There is money out there. Some of it is in the form of gold and some of it is stuffed under the proverbial mattresses. A single entrepreneur or a small team should look to invest their last credit card while looking for angel investors, venture capital, and conventional lenders (in that order) until the idea is ready to get out of the incubator. Along the way, they will need the $1 million you wrote about. In the US incorporating a business, bankruptcy laws, and societal attitude also help genuine risk takers. There is need for groups that bring people with ideas, executers, and money together. Even in the US, such groups are limited and many ideas die on the vine. A model for such groups is very beneficial in India as there are likely to be more ideas (in dispersed locations) than venture capitalists. Yes! Great vision and dreaming big are wanted. But in winning a game, there is room for the big as well as a collection of small accomplishments. Using baseball analogy, we may hope for a home run but a sacrifice bunt is also useful. Or in the cricket analogy, sixers are great but a well placed single may hold the key to victory. Rajesh, The software industry today is anything but "comforts of the 9-5, Monday-to-Friday job". If you want to be in the race you put in at least 60 hours per week and if you really want to be successful 80 hrs will help. This tread is across the spectrum of S/w companies. This is all the more reason why people should consider entrepreneurship, you are going to work hard anyway, you might as well work har for yourself. Ananth |