Monday, July 4, 2005
Podcasting

The New York Times writes in the aftermath of Apple's entry into the business:


"Podcast" is an ill-chosen portmanteau that manages to be a double misnomer. A podcast does not originate from an iPod. And it is not a broadcast sent out at a particular time for all who happen to receive it.

It is nothing other than an audio or video file that can be created by anyone - add a microphone to your computer, and you're well on your way. The file begins its public life when you place it on a Web site, available for anyone to download to a computer and, from there, to transfer to a portable player, which may or may not be an iPod. It's encoded in such a way that the receiving computer can pick it up in successive installments automatically, whenever they are posted to the Web site. Subscribing is the term used for the automatic downloads, and it's apt.

The delivery mechanism for a podcast subscription is rather slick. There's no need to go to the trouble of browsing the Web site again for fresh material: the new stuff moves without so much as a beep from the original server to your computer. Then it moves automatically to your attached portable player, keeping the content perpetually refreshed. Welcome to the post-Web era.

Microsoft and Open-Source

HBS Working Knowledge has an interview with HBS professors Pankaj Ghemawat and Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, who consider the competitive dynamics of the software wars between Microsoft and open source:


One main advantage of open source software is that because users can modify the code directly (as they encounter problems or have new ideas on how to improve it), the development cycle is significantly shorter. Proponents of OSS claim that if this demand-side learning (as we call it) is sufficiently strong, OSS will oust traditional software. In addition, software engineers claim that the better architecture of most OSS projects make them a potentially superior product, adding to the probability of success.

However, OSS has disadvantages too. Most importantly, it comes from behind in terms of market share (installed base). Because the value of an operating system depends critically on the number of users, traditional software has an advantage. Clearly, a larger installed base implies that there will be stronger direct and indirect network effects, and this will enhance the value of the operating system to current and potential users. In addition, a larger installed base also implies that there will be more feedback on bugs and more suggestions for new features.

Our paper introduces a dynamic mixed duopoly model in which a profit-maximizing competitor (Microsoft) interacts with a competitor that prices at zero (Linux), with the installed base affecting their relative values over time. We use a formal model to ask what conditions are needed for Linux to take over Windows. The questions that we address are: Is Linux's superior demand-side learning sufficient to win out? What is the effect of forced procurement by governments and some large corporations on the long-run equilibrium? How do cost asymmetries play out? Can Microsoft use piracy strategically to improve its market position?

Our main result is that in the absence of cost asymmetries and as long as Windows has a first-mover advantage (a larger installed base at time zero), Linux never displaces Windows of its leadership position. This result holds true regardless of the strength of Linux's demand-side learning. Furthermore, the result persists regardless of the intrinsically better design and potential differential value of Linux. In other words, harnessing demand-side learning more efficiently is not sufficient for Linux to win the competitive battle against Windows.

Software | PermaLink | Comments (5)

I have not read the paper yet. I feel that "forced procurement by governments and some large corportations" could tip the balance. For instance, India and China have a sufficiently large as yet untapped potential user base. Imagine for a moment an unrealistic scenario where a credible commitment were made by both governments that all new PCs would be Linux based. Then application developers would have an incentive to address this new market and thus bring down the barrier to the adoption of Linux. I believe that even in the absense of what the authors call "demand-side learning", OSS can beat the current leader.

This would of course not happen because MS is currently powerful enough to influence any policy maker's by offering "gifts" to the economy. MS has good theorists on its payroll, I would presume.

You cannot build a better OS and hope to dislodge MS. What you have to build is a replacement to the whole OS concept and if you do that, only then will the Windows stranglehold be broken. In other words, it is not that you replace Windows with some other OS, but rather that you replace the need for an OS on your device that delivers computing services to you.

Posted by Atanu Dey

Oops, typos. Note to self: engage brain before starting typing.

I meant "game theorists" in my comment above. Also, it should be "...any policy maker by ..." instead of the " ... maker's ...".

Posted by Atanu Dey

Sorry, an error message in my explorer, forced me the multiclick. Request the administrator to delete the multiple post

Posted by cvrk

Interesting assumption in this work (again I have not read the whole paper)

"...Our paper introduces a dynamic mixed duopoly model in which a profit-maximizing competitor (Microsoft) interacts with a competitor that prices at zero (Linux)..."

Are we sure about this assumption? Licensing costs are only a small part of a cost... So it is not zero but definitely something more than that.. In some cases like Redhat even the upfront cost is not zero.. add maintenance, services, support etc...

I hope these studies are done by taking a lot of IT managers in large and small enterprises into account.

Secondly, in order to displace MS as a leader an alternative ecosystem has to be built and one would hope that it would grow as big if not bigger.

Lastly, as a user I have always found using Linux based software complicated and terribly complex. They maybe secure but that is only one dimension. As a business and consumer user I want ease of use, driver support, application support and legacy support. If Linux guys do this then they will come up as a viable alternative.

Tarun

Posted by Tarun Anand

Tarun, the "... paper introduces a dynamic mixed duopoly model in which a profit-maximizing competitor (Microsoft) interacts with a competitor that prices at zero (Linux)..." line is standard operating procedure for economists. Economists do that with models -- make simplifying assumptions that are not strictly true but the assumption helps clarify other issues that are not self-evident without analysing the model. So for instance, Microsoft's profit-maximizing behavior is an assumption only because they may have other goals such as market-share or the merely plain goal of "engulf and devour" or "Social welfare maximization by funding AIDS and malaria research."

Posted by Atanu Dey
IT for Mobile Staff

IT Week writes:


A more recent trend is for firms to move beyond email and PIM data to look at mobilising other enterprise software such as CRM and enterprise resource planning (ERP) apps. Extended Systems, for example, offers mobile systems for sales, field service and pharmaceuticals, which are built on top of the same platform as its OneBridge Mobile groupware.

Systems such as this typically link to one or more central databases on which the corporate application is built, and may require some developer work by the vendor or a local systems integrator to meet a company's exact needs.

Alternatively, web-based access to applications and data can largely avoid the need for middleware, but not all applications can be "published" to the web, and handheld clients often have only basic browsers that may not support JavaScript or other technology used by such applications.

Another solution is to use a VPN to allow mobile clients to link securely to the corporate network. Pocket PC devices have had a built-in VPN client since the 2002 version of the platform, while Certicom offers versions of it Movian VPN client for Palm, Symbian, and Pocket PC. VPN appliance maker Neoteris (now part of NetScreen) last year added middleware to its Secure Access devices, allowing Pocket PC and Symbian clients to link to corporate resources using just a browser.

Managing the Information Lifecycle

InfoWorld has a special report: "Information lifecycle management turns traditional storage on its head, separating information from raw data and storing it based on its business value."


The current darling of the storage industry, ILM is based on two simple concepts. First, not all information has the same value to the organization. Second, whatever value information has tends to change over time.

If these assumptions are true, then why apply the same level of expensive storage, management, and protection to all information in an enterprise? By moving less-valuable information to less-expensive storage and applying appropriate levels of protection to each storage tier, companies save money and reserve high-end resources for the information that demands them.

The result: Mission-critical systems are less bloated, more stable, and better performing. Backup windows shrink, storage runs out less often, upgrades are less frequent, and the overall cost of storage and storage management drops.

Wikis, Weblogs and RSS

Knowledge@Whartonhas an interview with Philip Evans, a senior vice president at Boston Consulting Group, Janice Fraser, CEO of Adaptive Path, and Ross Mayfield, CEO of SocialText, by Kevin Werbach:


Fraser: When you look at the trends in web development, you will see a shift from what I call host-provided value -- such as CitySearch (where publishers provide local events listings in different cities) -- to user-provided value in websites such as Upcoming.org (a global events calendar managed by users). There is a giving up of control. The new web applications are lightweight, single function and focused on a specific problem or interaction. When you combine that trend with creative developers who are beginning to have the energy and insight to recombine technologies in new ways, you get not the explosive growth of the 1990s, but you get something more relevant. I can't anticipate exactly what that will be, but I see the potential for businesses to change the way they think about developing and deploying technologies...When you combine applications like blogs, Wikis and RSS feeds and put a front end on them, that's a different vision for the Internet and knowledge-sharing and management.

Evans: Now we are seeing companies choose to work in ways that's much closer to the original vision of the Internet being a medium that is genuinely peer-to-peer, is loosely coupled and sparks different kinds of interactions. The great step forward is not the technology itself -- the blogs, etc. are wonderful, but technologically minor -- but rather one of new perceptions or how people see fresh possibilities and may be willing to invest in them in new ways. We have come full circle.

Mayfield: As more and more people are on the web longer, they have more access to tools and discover new ways to interact. This means you end up with a phenomenon that is as disruptive as the open source phenomenon in software -- but now you see it in the media, with blogs, with communities like Wikipedia, in politics (as evidenced by the Howard Dean campaign) and many other sectors. I think such interactions have now reached a critical mass. There may be some value to letting these tools evolve in almost a Darwinian fashion on the public Internet.

TECH TALK: Shift-Ctrl: USA

The thought for this Tech Talk was sparked off by a column Thomas Friedman wrote in the New York Times recently and my visit to CommunicAsia in Singapore. Let us start with Friedman. He wrote in The New York Times (June 1):


In New Delhi, the Indian writer Gurcharan Das remarked to me that with each visit to the U.S. lately, he has been forced by border officials to explain why he is coming to America. They "make you feel so unwanted now," said Mr. Das. America was a country "that was always reinventing itself," he added, because it was a country that always welcomed "all kinds of oddballs" and had "this wonderful spirit of openness." American openness has always been an inspiration for the whole world, he concluded. "If you go dark, the world goes dark."

Bottom line: We urgently need a national commission to look at all the little changes we have made in response to 9/11 - from visa policies to research funding, to the way we've sealed off our federal buildings, to legal rulings around prisoners of war - and ask this question: While no single change is decisive, could it all add up in a way so that 20 years from now we will discover that some of America's cultural and legal essence - our DNA as a nation - has become badly deformed or mutated?

This would be a tragedy for us and for the world. Because, as I've argued, where birds don't fly, people don't mix, ideas don't get sparked, friendships don't get forged, stereotypes don't get broken, and freedom doesn't ring.


As I thought about Friedman’s points, I also considered my own feelings. There was a time when I'd look forward to visit the US. I would find any excuse – a conference, some meetings – to make a visit there. [For the record, I lived in the US from 1988 to 1992 – studying at Columbia in New York, and then working at NYNEX in White Plains, just north of New York. I also spent six months in the Bay Area before returning to India for good in May 1992.]

I found the US a great way to re-charge the brain. Meeting people, visiting trade shows and conferences, walking in malls and bookstores, there were ideas aplenty. There was an infectious energy that I did not find in India. The US was the epicentre of innovation and I was an avid student.

Something has changed in the past few years.

Tomorrow: USA (continued)

Tech Talk | PermaLink | Comments (4)

What has changed in part is due to the fallout of the invasion of Iraq. I find it ironic that one of the most vocal cheerleaders of the invasion is our own Thomas Friedman. Three hundred billion dollars and counting in direct costs to the US alone, not to mention the tens of thousands of lives lost in Iraq, etc. The only winners happen to be US arms manufacturers and defense contractors.

PS: Happy Independence Day, USA!!

Posted by Atanu Dey

It says more than I could ever put into words that I as a 3rd generation American decided AGAINST posting what I had originally written - for fear of some sort of reprisal- than anything else I could possibly say.


Oliver Starr "stitch"
www.mobile-weblog.com

Posted by Oliver Starr "Stitch"

It is a point worth pondering about.

From giving the world the notion of throwing off colonialism to the spurt in inventions- Edison, Bell, the Wright brothers,..........the list goes on, the US has been the source of some wonderful inspirational changes. In that sense the energy that is/ was so palpable is not strange.

You may have disagreements about their current policies, but you have to admit that for nearly 3 centuries now, it has arguably been an immensely creative nation in the field of education,science, politics, arts and sport. It has also managed to infuse a fierce sense of patriotism in its residents( who are largely immigrants), and an unshakeable belief that they are the most powerful nation. It would be immensely sad to see this wellspring of inspiration drying up or shutting itself off. If it does, my only hope is that another nation, maybe India, rises up to provide humanity the inspiration for continued progress.

Posted by S. Ramachandra

Ramachandra, you make excellent points. Some time ago, I wrote a piece on what the world owes the US.

Posted by Atanu Dey
Me
Entrepreneur, Mumbai, India, Emergic, Netcore, Internet, IndiaWorld, Sify, IIT-Bombay, ColumbiaUniv ... More [Write to Me]

- MyToday
- Emergic Ecosystem
- Netcore
- Emergic MailServ: Enterprise Messaging
- Emergic CleanMail: Anti-Virus, Anti-Spam
- BlogStreet: Blog Profiles, RSS Ecosystem
- Novatium: Network Computers
- SEraja: The EventWeb
- Rajshri Media: Broadband Portal
- Newsweek on Novatium (Feb 2007)
- Knowledge@Wharton Interview (Oct 2006)
- TIME Asia (Mar 2000)

Free SMS Updates
Indian mobile users can sms START EMERGIC to 9845398453 to get free daily updates on new additions. [To unsubscribe, sms STOP EMERGIC to 9845398453.]
My Writings
Affordable Computing and ICT for Development
India's Digital Infrastructure (May 2007)
Envisioning Tomorrow's World (Mar 2007)
Computing for the Next Billion (Jun 2006)
City Wi-Fi Networks (Apr 2006)
Microsoft Live (Nov 2005)
Internet Tea Leaves (Sep 2005)
Next-Generation Networks (Jul 2005)
Disruptions (Jul 2005)
The Mobile Phone Platform (Feb 2005)
Microsoft, Bandwidth and Centralised Computing (Jan 2005)
Computing for Broadband 101 (Jan 2005)
Tomorrow's World (Nov 2004)
CommPuting Grid (Nov 2004)
Massputers, Redux (Oct 2004)
The Network Computer (Oct 2004)
Reinventing Computing (Aug 2004)
Tech Trends (Jul 2004)
Letter to Arun Shourie (Apr 2004)
As India Develops (Mar 2004)
My Mental Model (Dec 2003)
The Next Billion (Sep 2003)
Transforming Rural India 2 (Jul 2003)
The Discovery of India (Jun 2003)
Transforming Rural India (Mar 2003)
The Rs 5,000 PC Ecosystem (Jan 2003)
Disruptive Bridges (Nov 2002)
India Post: Ideas for Tomorrow (Nov 2002)
Technology's Next Markets (Oct 2002)
Server-based Computing (Jul 2002)
India's Next Decade (Apr 2002)
The Digital Divide (Apr 2002)
The Real Wireless Revolution (Mar 2002)
Envisioning a New India (Jan 2002)
Emerging Technologies, Emerging Markets (Jan 2002)
The Indianised Linux Desktop (Nov 2001)
Mass Market Internet (Nov 2000)

Enterprise Software and SMEs
The Coming Age of ASPs (May 2005)
SMEs and Technology (Oct 2003)
The Death and Rebirth of Email (Aug 2003)
IT's Future (Aug 2003)
Rethinking the Desktop (Sep 2002)
Rethinking Enterprise Software (Jun 2002)
Emerging Enterprises and Emergent Networks (Mar 2002)
Web Services (Nov 2001)
Alt.Software (Oct 2001)
The Intelligent, Real-Time Enterprise (June 2001)
Enterprise Software (Mar 2001)
SME Tech Utility (Feb 2001)
Software and SMEs (Jan 2001)
The Intelligent Enterprise: Integrating CRM, SCM and EIP (Jan 2001)

Information Management
The Emerging Internet (May 2007)
The Now-New-Near Web (Sep 2006)
Mobile Internet (Aug 2006)
Video on the Internet (Jun 2006)
India Internet and Mobile (Feb 2006)
Rethinking Newspapers (Jan 2006)
Web 2.0 (Oct 2005)
The Future of Search (Mar 2005)
Web 2.0 Conference (Oct 2004)
Thinking A New Food Portal (Sep 2004)
Rethinking Search (Jan 2004)
India.com 2.0 (Jan 2004)
The Publish-Subscribe Web (Jun 2003)
Constructing the Memex (May 2003)
RSS, Blogs and Beyond (Feb 2003)
Blogging (Feb 2002)
Harnessing Information (Oct 2001)
News Refinery (May 2001)

Entrepreneurship
When Bad Things Happen (Jan 2007)
Ventures and Capital (Dec 2006)
15 Years as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2006)
Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans (May 2006)
Let's Build a Business (Apr 2006)
The Value of Vision (Mar 2006)
Vision and Worries (Oct 2005)
Bootstrapping a Business (Oct 2005)
India Needs More Entrepreneurs (Aug 2005)
Dotcom Nostalgia (Jun 2005)
When Things Go Wrong (Apr 2005)
My Life as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Growth Challenge (Sep 2004)
Creating Options (Sep 2004)
From Employee to Entrepreneur (Aug 2004)
A Tale of Two Summers (Aug 2004)
Crucible Experiences (May 2004)
The Company (May 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Attributes (Nov 2003)
An Entrepreneur's Early Days (Sep 2003)
Reflections on Ideas and Entrepreneurship (Jul 2003)
Entrepreneur's Enigmas (Jan 2003)
The Entrepreneur's Delights (Sep 2002)
Life as an Entrepreneur (Oct 2001)
Leadership Lessons from Lagaan (Aug 2001)
Entrepreneurial Learnings (July 2001)
Entrepreneurship (Mar 2001)
The IndiaWorld Story (1997-8)

Abhishek (my son)
Photos
Letter to a Two-Year-Old (Apr 2007)
Father to Son (Apr 2006)
Letter to a 2005 Baby (Jun 2005)
The Making of Abhishek (Jul 2005)

Moreover
Facebook (May 2007)
Doing Education Right (May 2007)
Reflections from a Dubai Trip (Apr 2007)
Creating India's New Cities (Apr 2007)
India's Challenges (Mar 2007)
3GSM 2007 (Feb 2007)
Demo 2007 (Feb 2007)
A Tale of Two Covers (Feb 2007)
3GSM Mumbai (Feb 2007)
2007 Tech Trends (Jan 2007)
The Best of 2006 (Dec 2006)
Best of Tech Talk 2006 (Dec 2006)
Cyworld (Nov 2006)
Two 2.0 Events (Nov 2006)
Two-Sided Markets (Nov 2006)
The Rise of YouTube (Oct 2006)
Gandhigiri (Oct 2006)
Education and Reservation (May 2006)
Four Blog Years (May 2006)
Fooled by Randomness (May 2006)
Blue Ocean Strategy (May 2006)
Revolution on the Roads (Apr 2006)
The MySpace Story (Mar 2006)
A Presentation at PC Forum (Mar 2006)
Extreme Competition (Mar 2006)
3GSM World Congress 2006 (Feb 2006)
DEMO 2006 (Feb 2006)
India Rising (Jan 2006)
2006 Tech Trends (Jan 2006)
The Best of Tech Talk 2005 (Dec 2005)
The Best of 2005 (Dec 2005)
Trains, Planes and Mobiles (Dec 2005)
Peter Drucker: Management's Newton (Nov 2005)
India Empowered (Oct 2005)
Rajasthan Ruminations 2 (Sep 2005)
Building a Better India (Sep 2005)
South Korea's IT839 (Jul 2005)
Shift-Ctrl (Jul 2005)
Best of Future Tech (Feb 2005)
Multi-Model Minds (Feb 2005)
The Best of 2004 (Jan 2005)
On Watching Swades (Jan 2005)
The Best of Tech Talk 2004 (Dec 2004)
India Trends (Dec 2004)
An American Journey (Aug 2004)
Black Swans (Aug 2004)
A Train Journey (Jun 2004)
An Agenda for the Next Government (May 2004)
Two Blog Years (May 2004)
Rajasthan Ruminations (Feb 2004)
Technology and the Indian Elections (Feb 2004)
2003-04 (Dec 2003)
Random Musings (Sep 2003)
Useful Concepts (July 2003)
Dear Non-Resident Indian (July 2003)
Tech's 10X Tsunamis (July 2002)
An Indian in China (Mar 2002)
Disruptive Technologies (Aug 2001)
Innovation (Aug 2001)
Good Books

- My Business Standard columns
- More columns at Tech Samachar

Presentations
- TiE Bangalore (Dec 2004)
- BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2004)
- CIT 2004 (Jan 2004)
- BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2003)
- Pune CSI Open-Source Workshop (Sep 2003)
- Sydney ICT Workshop (Jul 2003)
- Netcore (Mar 2003)
- Emergent Democracy (MP Govt, Feb 2003)
- Vision for Digitally Bridged India (Dec 2002)
- India Post (Nov 2002)
- Open-Source for eGovernance (Oct 2002)
Recent Entries
Archives
BlogStreet
Syndicate
Powered by
Movable Type 2.21


Main - Feedback
© Rajesh Jain