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Tuesday, November 23, 2004
India and Utility Computing
My colleague, Atanu Dey, writes:
Applied Web Services
Phil Wainewright test drives Grand Central's Business Services Network: "The purpose of my test drive is to follow up my gut feel with a proof-of-concept, using the Grand Central Network as a test bed. It's all very well talking breathlessly about the wonderful potential of these on-demand capabilities, but can you actually string them together to do something useful? And is it really so accessible that even a power business user like me can cobble simple processes together using the tools and capabilities that Grand Central offers?"
MyCampus
The Feature has an an article by Mark Frauenfelder:
4G and OFDM
[via Om Malik] John Yunker writes:
Building a Medical Data Network
The New York Times writes about a conference last week at Rockefeller University:
General
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The medical thing in IT is big. First comes the patients' bill of rights. The patient oughtta own his own medical information and should be able to carry it with him across doctors and hospitals as he wishes. Then comes the knowledge management system - codenamed Angel - that will collect and collate data on symptoms and diseases across the US and provide increasingly intelligent (based on an elementary learning-and-updating process) guessestimates on diagnosis and treatment which, with time, physicians will increasingly learn to trust. Put 2 and 2 together, and you have a very powerful IT enabled medical system that cuts costs drastically and optimizes IT use across the healthcare ecosystem. Posted by sudhir
TECH TALK: Tomorrow's World: India's Recent Revolutions
As we look ahead, the perspective I will take is that of emerging markets – and in many cases, specifically India. It is a market that I am most familiar with even as much of my reading comes from what's happening across many other markets. So far, India has been a tale of missed opportunities. Even though we have seen four important revolutions in the past 15 years, there is so much more that could have been. Let us see what these four revolutions have been, and then we will look ahead to what can be. India's first revolution started with Rajiv Gandhi and Sam Pitroda, and their telephone booths across the country. For people who had to wait years for a telephone line, there was now an opportunity to get access to telecom without ownership of the device by using a shared resource in the neighbourhood. A million or so of these public call offices (PCOs) now dot the Indian landscape. Even though their livelihood is now threatened by the emergence of the mobile phone, their role in connecting India cannot be overestimated. India's second revolution was the bottom-up deployment of cable television infrastructure across the country. This has transformed entertainment across India in the past decade. With no government regulation, entrepreneurs sprung up all over India, set up satellite dishes, strung cables across roads and trees and into homes, and brought variety into a country long fed with a staple diet of a handful of government TV channels. Today, a hundred TV channels are available for no more than a few hundred rupees a month across most of India. More than anything, it is cable television which has created a positive, aspirational attitude across India. The third revolution built on the first – by making mobile phones available to individuals on-demand, again for a few hundred rupees a month. Inspite of some short-sighted government policies, cellular telephony has thrived in India, and with a base of 45 million users growing at about 2 million a month, it has amplified the communications revolution within India. Family and friends are now just a few digits away. The fourth revolution which is in its early stages is in the IT-enabled services realm. India is rapidly becoming the back-office to the world. Even though this sector employs only about a couple million people, the growth rates and positive feedback loop has now started. It is this services revolution which has to a certain extent helped engineer the retail revolution as there are now plenty of young people with money to spend. The two revolutions which did not happen in India were in computing and the Internet. Both showed promise, but stumbled due to a variety of reasons – with lack of demonstrable utility being one of them. This is where our story begins. Tomorrow: Independent Thinking Related Entries: [All]TECH TALK: Tomorrow's World: Five Markets (Part 2) [December 17, 2004] TECH TALK: Tomorrow's World: Five Markets [December 16, 2004] TECH TALK: Tomorrow's World: Five-in-one [December 15, 2004] TECH TALK: Tomorrow's World: Payments [December 14, 2004] TECH TALK: Tomorrow's World: Services [December 13, 2004]
Tech Talk
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4 revelutions, you talked about had some pattern. internet, follows in that pattern. email based services can spread fast, once all govt services are available- this can really pick up. as it would become a unitity. so we need to push for e-gov, to make computing a utility in rural areas. other initiatives, like mahamaza.com,and rural product selling website, internet-medicine, tele-education. will happen by entreprenuers. but computer need to go to rural areas.?? there is huge need to market this as utility.? probably we need to recruit people from rural areas, train them for marketting this, make rural entrepreneurs. there lies the key. since the cable network has gone thus far, these people can again be asked to do more entreprenuership, again banks can give them funds. Nice post Mr. Jain. Fact is, the 2 revolutions that didn't happen will cost us much in the days to come. There are other smaller revolutions that seem to have escaped mention. One is the revolution in education delivery - private entrepreneurs offering vocational, job-based education to youngsters (starting with NIIT and Aptech and spreading to ITES training centers, Hotel Management institutes, MBA colleges, finance/ accounting/ banking/insurance specific diplomas etc have mushroomed through the 90s. No longer are the few seats in Govt Engg and medical colleges the only passport to a stable professional worklife. The second revolution has been in the quality sphere. The coming-into-prominence of quality certification criteria, their widespread demand and use has given a fillip to all parties concerned to employ caveat-emptor and perform due diligence on quality metrics before engaging in any kind of size-able transaction. A student is more likely to runup an institute's rankings before aspplying just as much as a businessman would run a background check on a subcontractor. Today, quality has to be proven and that is a ini-revolution in itself. Only the govt it seems, remains immune to the need to prove quality in service delivery. Posted by sudhir |
isnt this the network computing concept?
Posted by RajivBottomline, it seems to me is that one would need some sort of device at the local, end-user, access-point level - say, a dumb terminal for mainframes of yore or a set-top box or a telephone instrument etc - in order to utilize the centralized services being offered.
This last-mile 'access device' needn't be expensive - you can shave away the microchip, the harddrive, the peripherals etc but ultimately it will have to retain some things and that will cost money.
The focus of utility computing, methinks, is on reducing the cost of the access device, subsidizing of these devices by service providers if necessary to ensure widespread usage from which can derive profits. Good examples are cable modems (leased by time Warner or Comcast here in the US) or DSL modems (leased to the consumer by the telephone company), TiVO (leased to the consumer by the company concerned etc) and surprise, surprise - newspapers (which recover costs in advertisements and whose subscription cost often doesn't cover the cost of manufacture and distribution- which by giving their stuff up cheap to the consumer initially get a lock on the consumer and later exploit that to earn profits.
Posted by sudhirSudhir, I think that the focus of utility computing is not restricted to reducing the cost of the access device. The idea is to reduce the complexity that the user has to deal with in using computing services. Don't know if you are old enough to have seen VCRs and TVs that had manual tuning nobs. These days you plug them in and they play. So also, a day will come when we will look back with wonder at those days when we had to futz around with installing software before using them, or that we had to periodically suffer the effects of viruses and spend time cleaning up our system.
The fact is that computing technology is still not mature enough to appear transparent to the user. When a technology becomes transparent, you are not even aware that it is being used. It exists below the dashboard somewhere and you can get on with your work without having to mess around with it.
Utility computing is ultimately connected with the cost of computing services, of course. But the cost one has to pay attention to is the "TOTAL COST OF USE" (or total cost of ownership). You pay for hardware, software, periodic updates, maintenance, upgrades of hardware, having to learn and relearn the use of the tools, etc. All that adds up and often exceed the benefits of computing services.
Posted by Atanu DeyPoint taken Atanu.
What you're describing seems eerily similar to the existing kiosk/PCO model of accessing certain services widely available throughout Indian today. The consumer ends up paying only for the services used etc.
To get this truly into the realm of utility computing, i.e. retail level consumers paying for comuting services like they today pay for utilities - water and electricity, you'd still need acess devices - analogies are the light bulb, the fan, the wash basin etc.
But the TCO argument is well taken. thanks for replying.
Posted by sudhir