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Monday, October 25, 2004
Tech's Young Entrepreneurs
Business Week has a special report: "These folks are a little older and more experienced than back in the '90s heyday. However, they're just as inspired and determined." Among those profiled:
Wireless Hotspots Reality
WSJ writes: "The simple truth may be that outside of homes and offices, and outside of obvious white-collar tar pits like hotels and airport lounges, there really may not be much of a market for high-speed mobile Internet connectivity. The proverbial killer app could always emerge, like being able to watch movies over the Web, the way they do in Hong Kong. It's just as likely, though, that people would prefer to watch them at home."
McDonald's Turnaround
We have all eaten at McDonald's in our lives - and continue to do. So, it is interesting to read this story in The Economist on how the company is bouncing back:
The Extinction of the Programming Species
Slashdot points to a series by Max Goff, who writes that "the postmodern programmer (the entire sub-species, not just those domiciled in the U.S.) shares much with the blacksmith of old, and will become just as extinct in relatively short order. It is not due to work visas or outsourcing, but has much more to do with the evolution of work itself."
Measuring Popularity, Authority, Credibility Online
Robin Good writes about PACmeter, and the various tools which can help in assessments. "This mini-guide brings together the best public resources available today on the Web that facilitate the task of assessing the credibility, authority and popularity of any Web site. When this is not directly feasible it offers resources and guidelines on how to personally assess and evaluate such factors. In general, it can be said that there is not one unique, reliable indicator of credibility, authority and popularity for public Web sites. Rather, there are a multiplicity of Web indicators that can be utilized to gather valuable data about a web site depending on the specific needs and scope of such research. " The article discusses the following:
Radio's Future
Dan Gillmor writes:
It is interesting to see how a medium that was once written off is making a comeback aided by technology and creativity.
General
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It's very difficult to assess the virtues of satellite radio -- is it mass or is it niche? It is mass because it has the capability of addressing large geos. But large geos don't share many things in common -- thereby rendering the quality of the (non-music) content insignificant to most listeners. Once satellite radio begins to address a niche, it becomes too expensive. If you subscribe to satellite radio, the cost of consuming the niche content can be large. The question that immediately pops up is: how does sastellite television succeed? It does so by creating niche content that is not geo specific (as in, it doesn't provide traffic updates for a city but it caters to, say, the spiritual needs of a geography). Fundamentally, one needs to describe `local content' which in turn then prescribes it to a mass/ niche audience. There is no point reinventing the wheel here: television has some great pointers that radio needs to better -- offer 100+ channels at a fraction of the cost. Today, in India, the hardware costs a fraction (about $ 60 at the bottom) and the subscription is getting there (at about $ 2 per month). But where are the 100+ channels? Posted by Arun
TECH TALK: Massputers, Redux: The Time Has Come
Last week has an interesting one from the point of view of affordable computing solutions. Microsoft’s Steve Ballmer talked about the need for $100 computers, and AMD announced a $185 computer ($249 with monitor). I will discuss the significance and impact of these developments. But first, let us look at the motivation that is driving the need for computers for the next users – what I will refer to as Massputers (a term coined by Om Malik). There are two key factors which are making computer makers finally wake up to the opportunity in emerging markets: Slowing Growth in Current Markets: The developed world is awash in computers – there are over 500 million users across these countries. This is now primarily an upgrade market – almost everyone who needs a computer has one. While computer growth continues to be strong (176 million computers will be bought in 2004, according to ZDNet which quotes IDC), this is being driven by two factors: depressed growth in previous years, and increasing offtake in emerging markets. The next new fast machine is no longer a driving factor in purchase, as evidenced by Intel’s decision to de-emphasise clock speeds for its processors. Increasing Demand in Emerging Markets: The developing countries of the world are where the next users of computing are going to come from. China and India are emerging as two hot growth markets. China overtook Japan in 2003 to become the second largest PC market with sales of over 13 million units (US led with 51 million units), according to ITFacts.biz. India is expected to have sales of about 3.5-4 million computers in 2004. Affordability is going to be increasingly important in these markets. The emerging market opportunity was elaborated on by Om Malik in his Massputers blog post: “Technology’s biggest opportunity that is staring them in the face. It is what I call a Massputer a computer that costs $300 for the computing hungry masses in emerging economies like India, China and Brazil. Users of this massputer should be able to do basic tasks like writing documents, Internet surfing, email and perhaps some business-related tasks like data entry. There are nearly four billion people who live in these emerging markets and assuming that only 10 per cent of them can afford $300 it is still a market of 400 million.” Business Week did a cover story recently entitled “Tech’s Future” and wrote: “During the first 50 years of the info-tech era, about 1 billion people have come to use computers, the vast majority of them in North America, Western Europe, and Japan. But those markets are maturing. Computer industry sales in the U.S. are expected to increase just 6% per year from now to 2008, according to market researcher IDC. To thrive, the industry must reach out to the next 1 billion customers. And many of those people will come not from the same old places but from far-flung frontiers like Shanghai, Cape Town, and Andhra Pradesh…Led by China, India, Russia, and Brazil, emerging markets are expected to see tech sales surge 11% per year over the next half decade, to $230 billion, according to IDC. What makes these markets so appealing is not just the poor, but also the growing ranks of the middle-class consumers.” The time has come for the IT industry to look at, the “fortune at the bottom of the pyramid” and “the next billion.” I will argue in this series (as I have often done on my blog) that the strategies being currently adopted by the likes of Microsoft and AMD are deeply flawed. Affordable $100-200 computers is just one dimension for attracting the next users of computing. What is needed is a fundamental reinvention of the computing architecture and business model. The IT majors are reluctant to do this because it threatens to be disruptive to their business. And that is where the real opportunity lies for innovators. Tomorrow: Ballmer Talk
Tech Talk
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Here is a comment on AMD's offering from Ars. It is from a post by Alton -- Here. ---------- Prices courtesy NewEgg: What AMD is proposing should give them a pretty good profit margin considering this setup is actually nicer than what it sounds like they are planning to offer. Especially since they won't be paying retail for the parts. These computers/massputers are not that cheap. Posted by Mukund R. |
TechWeb is running a competition for "Best Independent Tech Blog Readers Choice Awards,". The ten finalists will get six month's of free publicity, and the winner gets a year's supply of coffee.
http://www.techweb.com/blogawards/nominate.html
Posted by VaidhyaTIME magazine wrote that this was an idea of another person some french entrepreneur
Posted by Peter