Monday, August 23, 2004
HP's Challenges

The Economist writes about HP's challenges after its disappointing quarterly results:


HP is far from “stuck” between Dell and IBM, she asserts. Instead, Dell, famous for its supply chain rather than its patents, represents “low tech and low cost”, while IBM, best known for its armies of technology consultants, peddles “high tech and high cost”, which leaves only HP to offer “high tech and low cost” and therefore “the best customer experience”.

HP is trying to be all things to all kinds of customers, and is leaving more and more of them plain confused. HP dominates in the market for printers, both laser and inkjet, and both for consumers and companies. It is also strong in handheld computers and some other consumer electronics items, such as digital cameras. In desktop personal computers and notebooks, HP runs neck-and-neck with Dell as the world's biggest supplier.

But in enterprise computing, from storage systems to servers, the picture gets more complicated. [HP CEO Carly] Fiorina's public-relations minions regularly circulate long and tedious lists of obscure sub-segments of the market in which HP has the largest market share—“fault-tolerant systems”, “external storage systems”, “tape drives”, “virtualisation technology” and so on. Being big in so many different areas, they argue, means that HP is the “leader” and vindicates the merger.

The opposite is more likely. HP's profits disappointed precisely because the jumble of its business units selling to companies made a loss of $208m for the quarter. In each area, it turns out, HP is fighting separate wars against different and fiercely focused competitors—EMC in storage hardware, Veritas in storage software, StorageTek in tape drives, Sun Microsystems in Unix servers, IBM in consulting services, and so on. The only way that HP manages to stay in so many games, at least according to Dell, is by leaving its profit margins on the table for others—and above all for Dell itself.


Will HP go the way of AT&T (from the split point of view)?

Management | PermaLink | Comments (1)

Markets are clearly not happy with HP. The M-Cap of HP ($67B) is less than their revenues ($70B), heavily discounted for lack of strategy.

I think vertically integrated companies like Sun and IBM still have a role to play in the present IT market structure. Instead of relying predominantly in the hardware market which is commoditizing every day, HP knows that it should leverage its brand and try to become an IT solutions provider.

But it is in a quandary, because with its currect m-cap it can't acquire consulting companies like CGE&Y. And unless its split, its stock won't rise.. a chicken and egg story.

Maybe we need someone like Louis Gerstner to reposition HP with a clear focus and strategy.

Posted by Sathish
Next-Generation User Interfaces

[via Navneet]Computerworld writes that "keyboards and mice will face competition from motion-sensing, gesture recognition and haptic technologies."

Open-Source Data Centre Software

Dann Sheridan writes about the options:


Is it possible that Open Source packages exist which rival what has traditionally been the highly proprietary arena of data center operations? The "standard" operations platforms for data center traditionally includes something like Remedy, HP Openview, CiscoWorks, and a handful of other tools which need to be integrated in order to work together. There is OpenNMS which provides service polling, performance data collections, and event management and notifications. What are missing from this feature set are event correlation, escalation, process definition, and some reporting. Double Choco Latte, or DCL, provides escalation, process definition, and some reporting. The missing piece is a correlation engine. Qualys provides an Open Source correlation engine for IDS. I wonder if this could be customized to correlate general network events. What has been missing from all operations platforms is a predictive failure engine which analyses a complete history of events for a given device or set of devices and predicts the next failure. I know no Open Source engines like this. Finally, a robust reporting interface is needed which will need to be built from scratch once integration of the packages has been designed. I know from experience that the traditional approach costs between $750K and $1MM to get up and running and approximately $150K to maintain annual software licenses and another $80K to $100K maintenance labor and ongoing development. At the very least, Open Source would save you the $150K in annual software maintenance.

WiFi+Cellular Access

Wi-Fi Networking News discusses the combined WiFi-cellular access market:


For cellular operators without their own Wi-Fi plays, a combined device might not pay off and could cannibalize their own cellular data networks. Technology Review Magazine suggests that cellular operators may view the combined devices as sort of a tease, to get users hooked on the idea of higher-speed wireless data just in time for them to start unrolling more ubiquitous and higher-speed cellular data offerings.

The catch will always be cost so there’s a chance the tease may backfire. If users get hooked on Wi-Fi networks that are free to access, they may decide to go out of their way to find a free hotspot rather than pay for the cellular access which at least these days is far more expensive. However, it’s likely that a certain market segment will pay for the convenience of having the higher speed wireless data from the cellular operators in more locations.


I have been using WiFi on the notebook as I travel over the past week or so, and it is amazing. (In India, one does not have too many hotspots.) I think a combined service would be a boon for road warriors from the data access point of view - there just aren't WiFi hotspots everywhere. And the service does not have to be free!

Advice for Google

Post Google's $85/share IPO, Dan Gillmor offers some advice on the business, technology, attitude and trust.


Google is a media company more than anything else, a company that sells advertising space on its own site and on its partners' (and customers') sites. The business, built on a sturdy foundation of delivering targeted ads based on people's actual interests, has legs.

It's also an obvious business for competitors. If Microsoft and Yahoo weren't tough enough opponents, consider the growing number of micro-advertising services that are springing up to serve niche markets. In the Weblog world, for example, a small company called Blogads has been effective for advertisers who want to target specific online journals. Google's ad products are fine, but they're hardly a monopoly.

Google needs to become much more of a platform, not just a collection of services. The company has made some visible steps in that direction, but the strategy is still quite hazy, perhaps deliberately.

Some observers have speculated that Google is creating what amounts to an Internet operating system, an environment people and businesses could use to effectively replace today's desktop computing services. That's a big task, but not impossible.

If that is the aim, and even if it isn't, Google should work harder to expand and open up its ``applications programming interfaces'' -- the instructions it offers to programmers on how to use Google's searches to create other kinds of services. Google has a developer ecosystem of sorts, but it's not nearly vibrant enough.


Bob Cringely adds:

Whatever the company does will be incredibly technical because that's their greatest strength. Remember, Google's CEO is Eric Schmidt, who used to be Chief Scientist at Sun Microsystems, so technology doesn't scare these guys. In fact, they prefer it because machines are more predictable than people, as Schmidt learned when he tried to turn around Novell. THAT's why Google is cut from whole cloth with every new hire chosen to be of the body.

The key to making money in search is to get between people and what they are searching for, and that's where Google is on a collision course not only with Microsoft and Yahoo, but also with Amazon and eBay. Amazon is vulnerable to the Googlization of all the millions of retailers who aren't running Amazon storefronts just as eBay is vulnerable to the Googlization of auctions where localization, pricing, and seller fees can all be improved.

But wait, there's more! What about GoogleMedia? Find all the pictures, video, and music, then create a marketplace for it. I'm not just talking about taking on iTunes, though that is a logical possibility. I'm talking about new ways of buying and selling all types of intellectual property. And given this week's court decision against the movie studios and in favor of Grokster et al, that could even come to include GoogleMovies. But any system for buying pictures to put in your term paper also requires a means to pay for it. So expect either a GooglePal or more likely an alliance with some established financial institution already convinced that PayPal must die.

TECH TALK: From Employee to Entrepreneur: The Decision

I recently met a friend I have known for a long time. We have known each other enough for me to discuss about his work and career. While the work he was doing continues to be interesting, I sensed a restlessness. There was a feeling that perhaps he should look at alternatives. Perhaps, a career at another company. I suggested that he should look at doing something on his own – being an entrepreneur. He had obviously thought about it, but something was holding him back. Having spent over a decade working for large companies, that path was easy to follow. It was a predictable future. Thinking about a start-up – either joining one or creating one – was a path that was different and unknown. Perhaps, the security of a job outweighed the risks of entrepreneurship.

I have been just the opposite in my career. Even when I started working at NYNEX (now part of Verizon) in the US in 1989 after my Masters from Columbia University, I was clear that in the very near future, I would start my own company in India. That was the advice given by my father when I left India for further studies in the US. If he could come back to India in the mid-1960s, I had better do so now! Because of family compulsions, his entrepreneurial career began a little later after he returned from the US. I need not wait.

And so, after just over 2 years of working, I left NYNEX, returned to India, and launched out as an entrepreneur. So, this is now my thirteenth year. It has been a mixed scorecard. But I could not think of living life any other way. Give me the ups and downs of the entrepreneurial journey with its “mountains beyond mountains” than the security of employment.

Yet, I understand that not every one of us can become an entrepreneur. But there are many who think about it. Just like those abroad who consider returning to India, contemplating entrepreneurship is also like the N+1 syndrome. It keeps getting postponed to the next year – and that next year rarely comes. As time goes on, it keeps getting harder, too.

As I talked to my friend, I realised that it wasn't an easy decision at all. The transition from an employee to entrepreneur is one of the toughest decisions anyone will face. What should I do? How will I start? Where will I raise the capital? What if things don't work? What will be the impact on my family? Is this the right time? A million questions keep popping up. While the answer for each question requires personal introspection and probing deep inside oneself, there are some common facets of this transition which can be abstracted out.

Just like driving down route 1 along the California coast, the entrepreneurial journey has its mix of tricky turns and magical moments. The road to entrepreneurship has more thorns than roses, but it is an expedition well worth taking – at least once in a lifetime. This is what I told my friend and this is what I'd like to share with you in this week's column.

Tomorrow: A Roadmap

Tech Talk | PermaLink | Comments (5)

Hi Rajesh,

Nice post.

Here is my latest post - on a very related topic ! - at the StartupJourney web log (http://startupjourney.blogspot.com ):

Advice against starting up

In an article appearing in StartupJournal, Warren Schulz - who has started and sold two small businesses - provides strong counter points to the "great benefits of being your own boss".

An extract from this must read article for all "aspiring entrepreneurs":

Let me offer this reality check. If you're employed in corporate America, you've probably got a steady paycheck. If you get sick, your employer's health insurance plan probably will cover most of your doctor's bills. If you want a vacation, you're apt to have paid time off. For the most part, you can do your eight and hit the gate. You've got it made; you just don't know it.

Running your own business is hard. But you think you're smart and can take an idea and make it happen. Odds are good that you'll lose half of your start-up cash by making mistakes. They may involve bad leases, employees, records, decisions, ideas or luck. The bottom line: You're bound to make mistakes, and they'll cost you.

In your next post, you might want to analyze/counter the arguments made by Schulz.

Cheers

Arun Natarajan
---------------------------------------------------------------
Tracking Venture Capital Investments
---------------------------------------------------------------
Data, Newsletters on VC, M&A Deals
in India & Indian-founded co's worldwide

View sample issues at
http://www.tsjmedia.com/viindia.htm
----------------------------------------------------------------

Posted by Arun Natarajan

Hi! Rajesh

The problem that I am facing regarding the starting something on my own is the lack of right idea. Though I have mostly tried concentrate only on technology, I have been trying to be as open as possible towards the focus area. Be it solar energy-fuel cell tech. or an oline India-US ticket sales website etc.. But haven't had a great success in getting to a point where i am totally confident about the idea. Wonder if most of the people have that issue to deal with and wonder what is lacking ?

Any ideas ?

Thanks
Manish.

Posted by Manish

Well, said rajesh. I'm riding the same boat. After investing almost a third of my life in corporate world, I believe I'm ready to bring to life atleast one of my several ideas. But the security offered by job becomes difficult to ignore while considering the risks associated with such a venture. I guess I need to take plunge and learn to swim in order to breath. For those not familiar with Indian culture, setting up a start-up is several times more difficult than the same in western countries though not impossible.

Regards,
Abhijit
http://blogs.abhigore.com/abhi

Posted by Abhijit Gore

Isn't it kind of fun to try to do the impossible, or bit difficult as in the case of having a start-up company!
:)
-Anurag

Posted by Anurag Phadke

Isn't it kind of fun to try to do the impossible, or bit difficult as in the case of having a start-up company!
:)
-Anurag

Posted by Anurag Phadke
Me
Entrepreneur, Mumbai, India, Emergic, Netcore, Internet, IndiaWorld, Sify, IIT-Bombay, ColumbiaUniv ... More [Write to Me]

- MyToday
- Emergic Ecosystem
- Netcore
- Emergic MailServ: Enterprise Messaging
- Emergic CleanMail: Anti-Virus, Anti-Spam
- BlogStreet: Blog Profiles, RSS Ecosystem
- Novatium: Network Computers
- SEraja: The EventWeb
- Rajshri Media: Broadband Portal
- Newsweek on Novatium (Feb 2007)
- Knowledge@Wharton Interview (Oct 2006)
- TIME Asia (Mar 2000)

Free SMS Updates
Indian mobile users can sms START EMERGIC to 9845398453 to get free daily updates on new additions. [To unsubscribe, sms STOP EMERGIC to 9845398453.]
My Writings
Affordable Computing and ICT for Development
India's Digital Infrastructure (May 2007)
Envisioning Tomorrow's World (Mar 2007)
Computing for the Next Billion (Jun 2006)
City Wi-Fi Networks (Apr 2006)
Microsoft Live (Nov 2005)
Internet Tea Leaves (Sep 2005)
Next-Generation Networks (Jul 2005)
Disruptions (Jul 2005)
The Mobile Phone Platform (Feb 2005)
Microsoft, Bandwidth and Centralised Computing (Jan 2005)
Computing for Broadband 101 (Jan 2005)
Tomorrow's World (Nov 2004)
CommPuting Grid (Nov 2004)
Massputers, Redux (Oct 2004)
The Network Computer (Oct 2004)
Reinventing Computing (Aug 2004)
Tech Trends (Jul 2004)
Letter to Arun Shourie (Apr 2004)
As India Develops (Mar 2004)
My Mental Model (Dec 2003)
The Next Billion (Sep 2003)
Transforming Rural India 2 (Jul 2003)
The Discovery of India (Jun 2003)
Transforming Rural India (Mar 2003)
The Rs 5,000 PC Ecosystem (Jan 2003)
Disruptive Bridges (Nov 2002)
India Post: Ideas for Tomorrow (Nov 2002)
Technology's Next Markets (Oct 2002)
Server-based Computing (Jul 2002)
India's Next Decade (Apr 2002)
The Digital Divide (Apr 2002)
The Real Wireless Revolution (Mar 2002)
Envisioning a New India (Jan 2002)
Emerging Technologies, Emerging Markets (Jan 2002)
The Indianised Linux Desktop (Nov 2001)
Mass Market Internet (Nov 2000)

Enterprise Software and SMEs
The Coming Age of ASPs (May 2005)
SMEs and Technology (Oct 2003)
The Death and Rebirth of Email (Aug 2003)
IT's Future (Aug 2003)
Rethinking the Desktop (Sep 2002)
Rethinking Enterprise Software (Jun 2002)
Emerging Enterprises and Emergent Networks (Mar 2002)
Web Services (Nov 2001)
Alt.Software (Oct 2001)
The Intelligent, Real-Time Enterprise (June 2001)
Enterprise Software (Mar 2001)
SME Tech Utility (Feb 2001)
Software and SMEs (Jan 2001)
The Intelligent Enterprise: Integrating CRM, SCM and EIP (Jan 2001)

Information Management
The Emerging Internet (May 2007)
The Now-New-Near Web (Sep 2006)
Mobile Internet (Aug 2006)
Video on the Internet (Jun 2006)
India Internet and Mobile (Feb 2006)
Rethinking Newspapers (Jan 2006)
Web 2.0 (Oct 2005)
The Future of Search (Mar 2005)
Web 2.0 Conference (Oct 2004)
Thinking A New Food Portal (Sep 2004)
Rethinking Search (Jan 2004)
India.com 2.0 (Jan 2004)
The Publish-Subscribe Web (Jun 2003)
Constructing the Memex (May 2003)
RSS, Blogs and Beyond (Feb 2003)
Blogging (Feb 2002)
Harnessing Information (Oct 2001)
News Refinery (May 2001)

Entrepreneurship
When Bad Things Happen (Jan 2007)
Ventures and Capital (Dec 2006)
15 Years as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2006)
Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans (May 2006)
Let's Build a Business (Apr 2006)
The Value of Vision (Mar 2006)
Vision and Worries (Oct 2005)
Bootstrapping a Business (Oct 2005)
India Needs More Entrepreneurs (Aug 2005)
Dotcom Nostalgia (Jun 2005)
When Things Go Wrong (Apr 2005)
My Life as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Growth Challenge (Sep 2004)
Creating Options (Sep 2004)
From Employee to Entrepreneur (Aug 2004)
A Tale of Two Summers (Aug 2004)
Crucible Experiences (May 2004)
The Company (May 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Attributes (Nov 2003)
An Entrepreneur's Early Days (Sep 2003)
Reflections on Ideas and Entrepreneurship (Jul 2003)
Entrepreneur's Enigmas (Jan 2003)
The Entrepreneur's Delights (Sep 2002)
Life as an Entrepreneur (Oct 2001)
Leadership Lessons from Lagaan (Aug 2001)
Entrepreneurial Learnings (July 2001)
Entrepreneurship (Mar 2001)
The IndiaWorld Story (1997-8)

Abhishek (my son)
Photos
Letter to a Two-Year-Old (Apr 2007)
Father to Son (Apr 2006)
Letter to a 2005 Baby (Jun 2005)
The Making of Abhishek (Jul 2005)

Moreover
Facebook (May 2007)
Doing Education Right (May 2007)
Reflections from a Dubai Trip (Apr 2007)
Creating India's New Cities (Apr 2007)
India's Challenges (Mar 2007)
3GSM 2007 (Feb 2007)
Demo 2007 (Feb 2007)
A Tale of Two Covers (Feb 2007)
3GSM Mumbai (Feb 2007)
2007 Tech Trends (Jan 2007)
The Best of 2006 (Dec 2006)
Best of Tech Talk 2006 (Dec 2006)
Cyworld (Nov 2006)
Two 2.0 Events (Nov 2006)
Two-Sided Markets (Nov 2006)
The Rise of YouTube (Oct 2006)
Gandhigiri (Oct 2006)
Education and Reservation (May 2006)
Four Blog Years (May 2006)
Fooled by Randomness (May 2006)
Blue Ocean Strategy (May 2006)
Revolution on the Roads (Apr 2006)
The MySpace Story (Mar 2006)
A Presentation at PC Forum (Mar 2006)
Extreme Competition (Mar 2006)
3GSM World Congress 2006 (Feb 2006)
DEMO 2006 (Feb 2006)
India Rising (Jan 2006)
2006 Tech Trends (Jan 2006)
The Best of Tech Talk 2005 (Dec 2005)
The Best of 2005 (Dec 2005)
Trains, Planes and Mobiles (Dec 2005)
Peter Drucker: Management's Newton (Nov 2005)
India Empowered (Oct 2005)
Rajasthan Ruminations 2 (Sep 2005)
Building a Better India (Sep 2005)
South Korea's IT839 (Jul 2005)
Shift-Ctrl (Jul 2005)
Best of Future Tech (Feb 2005)
Multi-Model Minds (Feb 2005)
The Best of 2004 (Jan 2005)
On Watching Swades (Jan 2005)
The Best of Tech Talk 2004 (Dec 2004)
India Trends (Dec 2004)
An American Journey (Aug 2004)
Black Swans (Aug 2004)
A Train Journey (Jun 2004)
An Agenda for the Next Government (May 2004)
Two Blog Years (May 2004)
Rajasthan Ruminations (Feb 2004)
Technology and the Indian Elections (Feb 2004)
2003-04 (Dec 2003)
Random Musings (Sep 2003)
Useful Concepts (July 2003)
Dear Non-Resident Indian (July 2003)
Tech's 10X Tsunamis (July 2002)
An Indian in China (Mar 2002)
Disruptive Technologies (Aug 2001)
Innovation (Aug 2001)
Good Books

- My Business Standard columns
- More columns at Tech Samachar

Presentations
- TiE Bangalore (Dec 2004)
- BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2004)
- CIT 2004 (Jan 2004)
- BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2003)
- Pune CSI Open-Source Workshop (Sep 2003)
- Sydney ICT Workshop (Jul 2003)
- Netcore (Mar 2003)
- Emergent Democracy (MP Govt, Feb 2003)
- Vision for Digitally Bridged India (Dec 2002)
- India Post (Nov 2002)
- Open-Source for eGovernance (Oct 2002)
Recent Entries
Archives
BlogStreet
Syndicate
Powered by
Movable Type 2.21


Main - Feedback
© Rajesh Jain