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Thursday, July 22, 2004
Ideal News Site
Steve Outing has a checklist, which includes the scroll-less home page, better ad management, and more user-generated content.
Internet International
Knowledge@Wharton looks at the international strategies of the US online giants:
Beyond Blogging
News.com has a perspective by David Hornik, a partner at August Capital and the author of the VentureBlog:
BlogStreet
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Rajesh, Please check out the new post on network-centric advocacy on campaign tools for bloggers. This is worthy of one of your post becuase it is getting the business moving in the campaign world..Bloggers self-organizing advocacy campaigns. http://www.network-centricadvocacy.net/2004/07/network_tools_g.html Network Tools get Even Better for Blogger Campaigns: Tom Mauser's Petition to Renew the Assault Weapons Ban
The national Assault Weapons Ban automatically expires at the end of the summer. Congress must renew this ban or military-style assault weapons will be back on the street and available for sale in our neighborhoods. We cannot let this happen. We have to put pressure on Congress to ACT NOW.
Microsoft's Payback
I don't understand the situation regarding Microsoft's decision to pay back $75 billion to shareholders in a one-time bonus, dividends and stock buybacks. While it will help the stock, what about customers - the source of the funds? Should not Microsoft be actually reducing prices to make its products affordable and margins lower in those sectors where it has a monopoly (Windows and Office)? Why is there no clamour for this? Wall Street is happy, but what about Main Street? How many other companies are generating $1 billion cash a month - and then paying a part of it to shareholders? Should there not be questions about the 80-90% margins? But, Wall Street has a lot more influence than Main Street. So, as we go ga-ga over the payouts, we forget how the money is being generated in the first place. The message to me: buy Microsoft's stock (cheap!) instead of its products (expensive!) Microsoft is in a unique position - it has the ability to single-handedly reinvent computing. In the next 6 years, every computer in the world will be replaced/upgraded - and there are 600 million of these. There will be, by Steve Ballmer's estimates, another 400 million new users. And if we can bring the total cost of ownership of computing lower, we can expect another 500 million users from the emerging markets. Thus, there is an opportunity to sell upto 1.5 billion computing solutions over the next 6 years. Microsoft can make computing affordable, desirable, accessible, manageable, ubiquitous and secure by virtue of its position. That is what will make Main Street happy - and ultimately, that is what will make Wall Street happy.
Microsoft
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Rajesh: Microsoft stock is essentially flat over past 5 years and its shareholders are increasingly concerned over benefits of holding on to it, while it has billions of dollars in cash. Disbursement of dividends, one-time and annual, is essential to reward shareholders for loyalty. Reducing the prices without the influence of any 'market forces' is not a business practice that any public company follows as its first responsibility is maximization of shareholder wealth. Having said that, I am sure the open source software will give sleepless nights to Bill and Steve over the next three years. Margins and prices have no way but to go down. Posted by AravindRajesh, Expecting a company like MS to voluntary reduce its margins and make PC afforable is, I think asking for too much of Corporate Social Responsibility. :) Among all stakeholders, MS puts investors ahead of customers, correctly! As Aravind writes, the market with its substitute open source products will drive the prices down. ~Sathish
China Business Guide
The McKinsey Quarterly writes: "Generalizations about China may be interesting conversation starters but are potentially dangerous distractions for companies considering investments there. The best advice is to focus on your own industry and operating issues. Performance in China varies greatly within industries, and the market operates on the winner-takes-all principle. The main concern is to become that winner by responding nimbly to fast-changing market dynamics and by relying as much as possible on skilled local managers, who are still rare in China. For companies operating in sectors that are not yet fully deregulated, the focus should be on creating a competitive advantage before the gloves come off. Merely transferring Western business approaches that fail to match China's reality won't work."
TECH TALK: Tech Trends: 8. Always-On World
Two years ago, it would have been hard to imagine that Indians would be buying cellphones at the rate of nearly 2 million a month. Similarly, today, it is hard to imagine a broadband India – but that is exactly what we are about to see. The next couple years will see Indian consumers and enterprises enveloped in ubiquitous, high-speed connectivity from multiple sources – wireless, DSL, cable and satellite. Complement this with WiFi-enabled laptops and smartphones, and the always-on world is at hand. This will necessitate a change in the not just employees work, but also the interactions between enterprises and customers. Orange has recently launched a service which allows their GPRS users to access their mailbox on a Microsoft Exchange server via Outlook from the cellphone itself. In India, Reliance Infocomm's data services have become very popular with laptop users as they provide instant access from anywhere. In the coming years, we will start seeing radio frequency IDs (RFIDs) which will allow every machine, device and object to start communicating with others. So, a shampoo bottle could notify a smart shelf in a supermarket when it is picked up a customer, causing a message to go out to the manufacturer who could then replenish supplies. The world of a pervasive, always-on network is here, with far-reaching implications. The world of Always-On is being driven from multiple directions: Access Devices: 2004 will see cellphone sales of nearly 600 million. Each cellphone makes its owner instantly connected to a worldwide network. As more and more features are packed into cellphones, they are becoming cameras, radios and TVs, gaming devices, and even computers. Smart radios are being embedded into all kinds of devices. Also, microchips embedded in products are creating an “Internet of things.” Access Infrastructure: A mix of broadband and wireless technologies are providing bandwidth aplenty anywhere and everywhere. From WiFi to WiMax, Zigbee to Ultrawideband, Mobile-Fi to 3G, there is no space which can remain unwired and no device which can stay unconnected. Backhaul networks on fibre are creating a world where it is now even more economical to carry voice over packet-switched IP networks. It is a world where, according to one of the Skype co-founders, telcos will become software application providers. Applications: The Always-on world provides a platform real-time everything. Combined with publish-subscribe, it will create a world where individuals and business users can be instantly notified of exceptions. So, instead of me checking every few hours to check the status of my waitlisted train ticket has been confirmed, I will be notified on my cellphone (or via email and IM) as soon as it is confirmed. Nicholas Negroponte said in a Business Week interview, taking the developments to their logical conclusion: “Peer-to-peer is key. I mean that in every form conceivable: cell phones without towers, sharing leftover food, bartering, etc. Furthermore, you will see micro-wireless networks, where everyday devices become routers of messages that have nothing to do with themselves.” The world of always-on in a natural manifestation of the convergence of various industries – computing, telecom and consumer electronics. It is a world which telecom- and computing-poor countries like India can leapfrog to, with the right vision and will. Just like South Korea has done. Tomorrow: South Korea Leads Related Entries: [All]
Tech Talk
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Just browsing through those 3 categories (Device/Infrastructure/Applications), I came up with a theory. I think the developments of each depends on the other 2. So I see companies aiming to exploit the current offerings to provide complementary services... Lets take Access Devices. As the theory goes, the progress of that will depend on the available infrastruture and Applications (conceptual not implemented). So when we see the mobile infrastructure emerging and proliferating, we see targetting of the cell phone markets. When we see people needing applications like browsing news, checking stock prices or in the end playing games, we see a trend towards GPRS phones having a WAP browser. If the infrastructure improves further, we will see full fledged use of XHTML browsers (like JAVA encroachment and camera phones did for satisfying entertainment needs). Next lets take up Applications, fairly obvious depends on the available infrastructure and devices. Again lets take up the case of mobile phones and GPRS, the trend in the short term may be towards WAP sites, and as the infrastruture improves along with devices exploting the same, we will see a surge in audio-video-animation applications on the cell. Lastly Infrastructure, this might be a bit tricky cause one may wonder how that depends on the other two. When a particular techonology is very favorable and is exploited by some devices in the technologically advanced regions (lets take for example VoIP doing well in US), as devices (laptop extensions) and applications become popular and available, the need for investing further into that infrastruture emerges. I think in India, the case is true for Wi-Fi. A very few areas support Wi-Fi (mostly 5* hotels) and the reason is quite obvious. The rich got hold of a laptop in US and now they would pay anything to detach the wires ! |