Wednesday, July 16, 2003
Google and Search

WSJ writes on Google's rising clout, and how it has been helped along by the very companies that are competing with it. The mistake IBM made with Microsoft 20 years ago is what Yahoo did with Google.


Some rivals, particularly Yahoo, can blame themselves for helping Google take off. Three years ago, Yahoo picked Google's search engine to provide search results on Yahoo's network of Web sites, replacing a service by Inktomi.

Yahoo had started by providing Internet searchers with information from its own directory, functioning like a giant Yellow Pages to the Internet organized largely by human editors. If this couldn't provide the information, Yahoo would use Google's search technology. Increasingly, though, users went directly to Google's Web site for results.

It was a classic case of underestimating a high-tech jewel and giving it away, similar to when International Business Machines Corp. gave the business of supplying PC operating systems to a little-known company called Microsoft. Although IBM thought it was just subcontracting a part of the PC, Microsoft's Bill Gates saw that operating systems would someday control the lion's share of profits and strategic influence in PCs.

Executives at Yahoo gradually realized they were losing their leadership in Internet search. The Google threat to other Yahoo businesses didn't sink in until last year, when Google unveiled a Web site that automatically collected summaries and headlines of top news stories from the Web and displayed them.


This is a fascinating story - one of the best I have read recently in WSJ, which puts a very nice perspective on the Search space.

What could dethrone Search and Surf? Syndications and Subscriptions. More on this soon.

Related Entries:  [All]

Changes in Search Kingdom

Search Engine Watch has a detailed analysis of the implications of the Yahoo-Overture deal from multiple angles. "Once the Overture deal closes, Yahoo, like Google, will control both key elements to search success: good content to pull users in and good ads to help pay for the service. That helps secure Yahoo's future as a search destination."

Related Entries:  [All]

Open-Source Business Models

Phil Windley blogs a talk by HP's Stormy Peters on open-source:


She suggests the following business models around open source:

- Commercial software - Oracle running on Linux is the example she uses.
- Support and services - This is the professional services model.
- Aggregation and enhancing - This is Redhat and other Linux vendors.
- Commercialize with a dual license - "Free for non-commercial use."
- Enable hardware
- End of life - What to do with a dog product that isn't selling?
- Building an ecosystem - Eclipse is the example here.

Why would you want to open source a product?

- Commoditizes a market you don't control (disruption)
- Make a technology pervasive
- Promote a proprietary product you have
- Lower the overall cost of a project (shared effort)
- Promote hardware
- Enable custom solution for customers (let them roll their own)
- Exit a business
- Leverage resources from others

When isn't it appropriate? This is bound to be controversial?

- The product is a control point (Windows)
- The product is obsolete (Windows---NO she didn't really say that.)
- The cost doesn't justify the benefit. This is a nod to the fact that open source development isn't free.
- Misdirection and defocusing of resources
- Intellectual property risk cannot be justified. Don't open source something you can prove you have the right to. This is important.
- Don't open source something to compete against the OS community.
- Just because its cool (I disagree with this---this is a great reason to open source something---ofttimes you don't see the benefit until people play with it and geeks are the ones to do that).

Something New and Big is Brewing

I tried an experiment over the past 10 days or so to get an idea of the utility of blogs. I get about 500-odd items from my 90+ feeds daily. I decided to delete the ones which I found not very useful, and see how many items would be left over a 10-day period. The answer: about 300. This means, that I getting about 30 good ideas / comments from bloggers daily. I cannot think of any other source which provides such a rich set of new inputs. Bloggers cook food for the brain, and RSS feeds are the delivery people.

With my Info Aggregator, I am now as excited as I've been about a new technology. RSS is undboutedly the HTML of today. The Info Aggregator (or more broadly, an RSS aggregator), is creating within me the same excitement that I felt using Mosaic in the fall of 1994.

Something big is underway. The pieces are slowly coming together. Blogs, Publish-Subscribe, RSS, Information Refinery, Dashboard, Web Services - its all very exciting. We all have an opportunity to be part of this new emerging world.

RSS for Publishers

CRN's Michael Vizard on RSS and its growing importance:


Web logs are interesting, but what's even more interesting is the RSS technology. Now, I've got a mechanism by which I can let people customize how they want to have information come to them. One of the things you've seen happening on CRN.com is that we're creating an RSS feed around storage. That's my first experiment with getting people to sign up for it. People can have a storage feed and get all the related headlines coming to them.

Once they get the headlines, they click on them and it takes them back to our site. It becomes a mechanism for driving traffic to the site that is phenomenal. It also is a beautiful thing for readers, because it allows them to customize content in accord with what they're looking for.

Right now, we're not shipping out whole stories via RSS. People want tight, limited summaries in an RSS feed, but will come to the site to read the stories. They use it as a digest and index to what's going on, but at the end of the day it will actually drive more traffic to the sites.

I think RSS means that people will move from the days of active Web surfing to passive Web surfing. By that I mean that people will no longer go on the site because it's fun, they'll only go when they have some specific thing that they care about. The RSS feed is a way to bring people back to sites for stuff that they care about it.

At the same time, people will find Web sites richer because they'll find them easier to navigate. I don't care whose site it is -- aggregating any site's content these days is a difficult chore because there's so much of it. RSS gives people a point of entry into the site for things they care about. I think that it will actually rejuvenate content on the Web. We could also have a much longer conversation about how RSS and e-mail will leverage and extend and improve each other.


I found a link in the comments to InfoBeing, which looks like an interesting way to get alerts on specific keywords in RSS feeds. We should also look at doing this.

Related Entries:  [All]

BlogStreet | PermaLink | Comments (1)

What you've posted on "RSS as a means of driving traffic to a site" (instead of effecting less visitors since the info is already being sent out via email or RSS) is interesting.

My job involves helping clients (mostly corporates) figure out ways to leverage Web technologies to their advantage. Very often this includes finding means to increase traffic to their website. I can't help but think that RSS and publish-subscribe concepts will make a lot of sense for websites that offer "information" content as their primary offering. But what it does it have to offer for corporates (say, banks) that have specific product offerings (not "content") to be communicated?

http://www.NaveenBachwani.com

Posted by Naveen Bachwani
TECH TALK: Useful Concepts: Game Theory

I always thought of game theory as very mathematical-oriented, and having little impact on the way one made decisions in business. It took a recommendation by Chetan Parikh of a book by James Miller – “Game Theory At Work” – to change this view. The book has an extraordinary collection of everyday situations and how ideas from game theory can be used to understand and then solve the problem.

Here is how the book starts: “Your life consists of games, situations in which you compete for a high score. Game theory studies how smart, ruthless people should act and interact in strategic settings. This book will teach you to solve games. In some games, you will negotiate for a raise; in others, you will strive to ensure that an employee works as hard as possible. Sometimes you will know everything, while in other games, you will have to guess at what others know that you don’t. Occasionally, competitors will work together to survive, while in other situations, co-operation will be impossible since the winner will take it all….In the world of game theory, there exists no mercy or compassion, only self-interest.”

James Miller highlights some of the lessons from the book, many of which seem counter-intuitive (all the more reason to read the book!):

  • Never hire someone too eager to work for you.
  • Have less trust in smokers.
  • Many people in business exhibit honesty not because they are moral but because they are greedy.
  • Eliminating choices can increase your payoff.
  • Burning money can increase your wealth.
  • Exposing yourself to potential humiliation can increase your negotiating strength when seeking a raise.
  • If your suppliers are charging you high prices, you could benefit from creating a prisoner’s dilemma.

    In fact, a scenario which one faces often in life is prisoners’ dilemma. To understand this, one needs to first understand Nash’s Equilibrium. According to John Nash (on whom the movie “A Beautiful Mind” was made), as outlined by Miller: “A Nash equilibrium is an outcome where no player regrets his move given his opponent’s strategy. It is a powerful game theory tool because it shows when an outcome is stable; it shows outcomes where no player wants to change his strategy.” The prisoners’ dilemma is a special category of Nash equilibria where all players ruthlessly ride their own self-interest to collective ruin.

    Writes Miller:


    A prisoners’ dilemma game manifests whenever everyone individually would be better off being selfish, but collectively all would benefit from being nice. In a one-period prisoners’ dilemma, you should always be mean to your rival, for meanness maximizes your score. Indeed, businesses must recognize when they are in such a game so they don’t waste time trying to find a “win, win” outcome, for none exist in one-shot prisoners’ dilemma games. In repeated games with no last period, however, you should strive to co-operate to achieve a better outcome. To obtain this outcome, you most need your rival to believe in your capacity to detect and punish cheating.

    This should be all the rationale needed to read the book and understand Game Theory!

    Tomorrow: Markets

    Related Entries:  [All]

    Tech Talk | PermaLink | Comments (2)

    Well, I did read a part of the book but fail to agree with some of the concepts.
    Never hire someone too eager to work for you. <-- If I have a person too eager to work for me, then he is passionate, full of ideas, filled with zest and above all would consider himself a part of my family. Speaking in Game theory language, the exact antonym of the above statement will be, "Always hire a person who is _not_ eager to work for you." This statement would be in good conjunction and convincing for head hunters like Christian and Timbers, not me.

    Have less trust in smokers. <--Does it mean have more trust in non-smokers? Quite strange.

    -Anurag

    Posted by Anurag Phadke

    Another recommendation of a Game Theory Book - Strategic Thinking by Avinash Dixit and Barry Nalebuf, professors at Princeton and Yale respectively. A good read with lots of examples from everyday life.

    And yes, there are obvious limits to how far you can stretch game theory. For example when actors are irrational, your classic game theory arguments do not hold.

    Posted by Vivek Padmanabhan
  • Me
    Entrepreneur, Mumbai, India, Emergic, Netcore, Internet, IndiaWorld, Sify, IIT-Bombay, ColumbiaUniv ... More [Write to Me]

    - MyToday
    - Emergic Ecosystem
    - Netcore
    - Emergic MailServ: Enterprise Messaging
    - Emergic CleanMail: Anti-Virus, Anti-Spam
    - BlogStreet: Blog Profiles, RSS Ecosystem
    - Novatium: Network Computers
    - SEraja: The EventWeb
    - Rajshri Media: Broadband Portal
    - Newsweek on Novatium (Feb 2007)
    - Knowledge@Wharton Interview (Oct 2006)
    - TIME Asia (Mar 2000)

    Free SMS Updates
    Indian mobile users can sms START EMERGIC to 9845398453 to get free daily updates on new additions. [To unsubscribe, sms STOP EMERGIC to 9845398453.]
    My Writings
    Affordable Computing and ICT for Development
    India's Digital Infrastructure (May 2007)
    Envisioning Tomorrow's World (Mar 2007)
    Computing for the Next Billion (Jun 2006)
    City Wi-Fi Networks (Apr 2006)
    Microsoft Live (Nov 2005)
    Internet Tea Leaves (Sep 2005)
    Next-Generation Networks (Jul 2005)
    Disruptions (Jul 2005)
    The Mobile Phone Platform (Feb 2005)
    Microsoft, Bandwidth and Centralised Computing (Jan 2005)
    Computing for Broadband 101 (Jan 2005)
    Tomorrow's World (Nov 2004)
    CommPuting Grid (Nov 2004)
    Massputers, Redux (Oct 2004)
    The Network Computer (Oct 2004)
    Reinventing Computing (Aug 2004)
    Tech Trends (Jul 2004)
    Letter to Arun Shourie (Apr 2004)
    As India Develops (Mar 2004)
    My Mental Model (Dec 2003)
    The Next Billion (Sep 2003)
    Transforming Rural India 2 (Jul 2003)
    The Discovery of India (Jun 2003)
    Transforming Rural India (Mar 2003)
    The Rs 5,000 PC Ecosystem (Jan 2003)
    Disruptive Bridges (Nov 2002)
    India Post: Ideas for Tomorrow (Nov 2002)
    Technology's Next Markets (Oct 2002)
    Server-based Computing (Jul 2002)
    India's Next Decade (Apr 2002)
    The Digital Divide (Apr 2002)
    The Real Wireless Revolution (Mar 2002)
    Envisioning a New India (Jan 2002)
    Emerging Technologies, Emerging Markets (Jan 2002)
    The Indianised Linux Desktop (Nov 2001)
    Mass Market Internet (Nov 2000)

    Enterprise Software and SMEs
    The Coming Age of ASPs (May 2005)
    SMEs and Technology (Oct 2003)
    The Death and Rebirth of Email (Aug 2003)
    IT's Future (Aug 2003)
    Rethinking the Desktop (Sep 2002)
    Rethinking Enterprise Software (Jun 2002)
    Emerging Enterprises and Emergent Networks (Mar 2002)
    Web Services (Nov 2001)
    Alt.Software (Oct 2001)
    The Intelligent, Real-Time Enterprise (June 2001)
    Enterprise Software (Mar 2001)
    SME Tech Utility (Feb 2001)
    Software and SMEs (Jan 2001)
    The Intelligent Enterprise: Integrating CRM, SCM and EIP (Jan 2001)

    Information Management
    The Emerging Internet (May 2007)
    The Now-New-Near Web (Sep 2006)
    Mobile Internet (Aug 2006)
    Video on the Internet (Jun 2006)
    India Internet and Mobile (Feb 2006)
    Rethinking Newspapers (Jan 2006)
    Web 2.0 (Oct 2005)
    The Future of Search (Mar 2005)
    Web 2.0 Conference (Oct 2004)
    Thinking A New Food Portal (Sep 2004)
    Rethinking Search (Jan 2004)
    India.com 2.0 (Jan 2004)
    The Publish-Subscribe Web (Jun 2003)
    Constructing the Memex (May 2003)
    RSS, Blogs and Beyond (Feb 2003)
    Blogging (Feb 2002)
    Harnessing Information (Oct 2001)
    News Refinery (May 2001)

    Entrepreneurship
    When Bad Things Happen (Jan 2007)
    Ventures and Capital (Dec 2006)
    15 Years as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2006)
    Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans (May 2006)
    Let's Build a Business (Apr 2006)
    The Value of Vision (Mar 2006)
    Vision and Worries (Oct 2005)
    Bootstrapping a Business (Oct 2005)
    India Needs More Entrepreneurs (Aug 2005)
    Dotcom Nostalgia (Jun 2005)
    When Things Go Wrong (Apr 2005)
    My Life as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2004)
    An Entrepreneur's Growth Challenge (Sep 2004)
    Creating Options (Sep 2004)
    From Employee to Entrepreneur (Aug 2004)
    A Tale of Two Summers (Aug 2004)
    Crucible Experiences (May 2004)
    The Company (May 2004)
    An Entrepreneur's Attributes (Nov 2003)
    An Entrepreneur's Early Days (Sep 2003)
    Reflections on Ideas and Entrepreneurship (Jul 2003)
    Entrepreneur's Enigmas (Jan 2003)
    The Entrepreneur's Delights (Sep 2002)
    Life as an Entrepreneur (Oct 2001)
    Leadership Lessons from Lagaan (Aug 2001)
    Entrepreneurial Learnings (July 2001)
    Entrepreneurship (Mar 2001)
    The IndiaWorld Story (1997-8)

    Abhishek (my son)
    Photos
    Letter to a Two-Year-Old (Apr 2007)
    Father to Son (Apr 2006)
    Letter to a 2005 Baby (Jun 2005)
    The Making of Abhishek (Jul 2005)

    Moreover
    Facebook (May 2007)
    Doing Education Right (May 2007)
    Reflections from a Dubai Trip (Apr 2007)
    Creating India's New Cities (Apr 2007)
    India's Challenges (Mar 2007)
    3GSM 2007 (Feb 2007)
    Demo 2007 (Feb 2007)
    A Tale of Two Covers (Feb 2007)
    3GSM Mumbai (Feb 2007)
    2007 Tech Trends (Jan 2007)
    The Best of 2006 (Dec 2006)
    Best of Tech Talk 2006 (Dec 2006)
    Cyworld (Nov 2006)
    Two 2.0 Events (Nov 2006)
    Two-Sided Markets (Nov 2006)
    The Rise of YouTube (Oct 2006)
    Gandhigiri (Oct 2006)
    Education and Reservation (May 2006)
    Four Blog Years (May 2006)
    Fooled by Randomness (May 2006)
    Blue Ocean Strategy (May 2006)
    Revolution on the Roads (Apr 2006)
    The MySpace Story (Mar 2006)
    A Presentation at PC Forum (Mar 2006)
    Extreme Competition (Mar 2006)
    3GSM World Congress 2006 (Feb 2006)
    DEMO 2006 (Feb 2006)
    India Rising (Jan 2006)
    2006 Tech Trends (Jan 2006)
    The Best of Tech Talk 2005 (Dec 2005)
    The Best of 2005 (Dec 2005)
    Trains, Planes and Mobiles (Dec 2005)
    Peter Drucker: Management's Newton (Nov 2005)
    India Empowered (Oct 2005)
    Rajasthan Ruminations 2 (Sep 2005)
    Building a Better India (Sep 2005)
    South Korea's IT839 (Jul 2005)
    Shift-Ctrl (Jul 2005)
    Best of Future Tech (Feb 2005)
    Multi-Model Minds (Feb 2005)
    The Best of 2004 (Jan 2005)
    On Watching Swades (Jan 2005)
    The Best of Tech Talk 2004 (Dec 2004)
    India Trends (Dec 2004)
    An American Journey (Aug 2004)
    Black Swans (Aug 2004)
    A Train Journey (Jun 2004)
    An Agenda for the Next Government (May 2004)
    Two Blog Years (May 2004)
    Rajasthan Ruminations (Feb 2004)
    Technology and the Indian Elections (Feb 2004)
    2003-04 (Dec 2003)
    Random Musings (Sep 2003)
    Useful Concepts (July 2003)
    Dear Non-Resident Indian (July 2003)
    Tech's 10X Tsunamis (July 2002)
    An Indian in China (Mar 2002)
    Disruptive Technologies (Aug 2001)
    Innovation (Aug 2001)
    Good Books

    - My Business Standard columns
    - More columns at Tech Samachar

    Presentations
    - TiE Bangalore (Dec 2004)
    - BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2004)
    - CIT 2004 (Jan 2004)
    - BangaloreIT.com (Nov 2003)
    - Pune CSI Open-Source Workshop (Sep 2003)
    - Sydney ICT Workshop (Jul 2003)
    - Netcore (Mar 2003)
    - Emergent Democracy (MP Govt, Feb 2003)
    - Vision for Digitally Bridged India (Dec 2002)
    - India Post (Nov 2002)
    - Open-Source for eGovernance (Oct 2002)
    Recent Entries
    Archives
    BlogStreet
    Syndicate
    Powered by
    Movable Type 2.21


    Main - Feedback
    © Rajesh Jain