Monday, July 22, 2002
Emergic Update

Have done separate updates for each of our projects:
- Blogstreet
- Digital Dashboard
- Thin Client-Thick Server
- Enterprise Software
- My Blog Enhancements

This weekly update idea works out quite well. It enables me to take stock of the situation, and by putting it up on the blog, it also gives all who are working on the prject, a clearer idea of my thinking. Every once in a while, I need to make sure I trace back to ensure that all the good ideas are being captured and implemented, and we aren't letting some slip through the cracks.

Enterprise Software: Way Forward

There are two aspects to what we are doing in our vision to create enterprise software applications for the mass market: within the enterprise, and between enterprises.

Within the enterprise, we want to build (a) the software components, (b) the business process framework - what I've called Visual Biz-ic, and (c) the business process libraries from different organisations. The layers of the solution will look like this:


Digital Dashboard
Web Browser
Customised Enterprise Modules
Enterprise Components
Basic Software Components
Application Server (JBoss)
Database (PostgreSQL)

The three layers in the middle are what we will need to develop. The Digital Dashboard (comprising an RSS Aggregator and a Blogging tool) comes from the other project that we are doing . All that the enterprise software modules will need to dois to put out events in RSS format.

We need to create the building blocks, and then work with Independent Software Vendors (ISVs) who can take this platform and customise for different verticals. It is possible that to jumpstart this process, we ourselves may need to create the enterprise modules for some verticals.

Across enterprises, we want to use RosettaNet Basics as the business process standards for exchanging documents. While RosettaNet has only been made for certain industries, it is generic enough to be usable by most SMEs. What is needed is for one of the bigger enterprises (which interacts with a lot of SMEs) to mandate the use of RosettaNet for its interactions.

To make this happen, the three areas that we will need to understand well are:
- Web Services: all software we develop should have XML/SOAP interfaces, so the components can be re-used. (An idea here is to take existing open source software components on the Web, and provide them withan XML/SOAP interface.)
- J2EE/EJB: We will use Java as the building platform, with an Application Server (JBoss). Also look at some of the IDEs like NetBeans and Eclipse.
- RosettaNet: for inter-business communications

In the near-term, we need to:
- build an Accouting+CRM module which integrates with Tally, but is architected using the component structure described above. Later, add additional modules for HR, Payroll, etc.
- implement RosettaNet for our interactions with our channel/support partners

Basically, we need to think of "edge services" as we attempt to make inroads into enterprises.

Two ideas which require more thought:
- Enterprise Emulator
- Slashdot for SMEs
Will get to them sometime later.

Thin Client-Thick Server: Update

Last week, we were able to get support on the Thin Client for the local devices: floppy disk, speaker, CDROM and hard disk. (Need to check if we can record audio). Some of this may come in useful if we target the home segment. We also did some traffic analysis: there's a lot of traffic that flows across! Making the solution work on a 10 Mbps LAN will be tough - we definitely need a 100Mbps LAN. What we need to try out though is the port rate limiting - to see if the solution can work on a 1-2 Mbps connection between the TC and TS. We are also working to add a second TS, and split users between the two, to get an idea of the scalability of the solution. We also need to think through the design/architecture of the solution in the coming weeks, and work out a productisation plan.

Going ahead, in the coming weeks, we will deploy the TC-TS solution at a few external locations, to get a feel for how others react. The commercial motivation is there, but we now have to see if it creates "pain" for the users. A few thoughts on this matter:

- initially, we should look at installing our own TS and a few TCs at the beta test locations, so we cause minimal hassle for the organisation

- we also want first-time users, not just the Windows users who may be asked to switch. Its the difference between delight and disappointment. Windows users will take a little time getting used to it, but like I have done, it is absolutely possible to make the switch.

- we want to use the system integrators/assemblers as we do our tests, so that they can then become advocates for our solution.

- we will need to do a "survey" of the current environment at the location - users, the non-PC users, the PC configurations, what they use computers for, the applications, etc. Understand what the problem it is that the solution will solve for them: will it legalise their software, will it enable them to give computing to more people in the organisation - understand the benefits of the solution for them.

- we need to emphasise training. First-time PC users should be given a 3-4 hour training on all aspects of the computer, while Windows users need to be given 1-2 hour training, with special emphasis on the differences from what they've been used to. Later, we could use the training institutes for this training.

- whom we identify as the first 2-3 users is going to be very important. They need to become our champions. So, they are the ones who are most likely to be open to change, the ones who like to try out new things first, the ones who can then explain the solution to others in the organisation.

- we have to add new users gradually, rather than trying to move everyone on the TC-TS at one go. Incremental is the way to do it, rather than disrupt their existing way of doing things.

What all this means is that we have to create a process for how we deploy the solution. Few companies in the world have attempted a grassroots movement to get Linux on the desktop. If we fail, it will not be because the technology couldnt do it, but because we did not take care of the softer factors in the migration. The technology problems are solvable, the people problems are harder, and we need to be sensitive to those. In that lies the success of this project.

The big question is whether the TC-TS solution will work in corporates. Ours is a predominantly software setup - mostly people work on the shell windows, few use OpenOffice or Windows, and people know they don't have a choice! In corporates, its not going to the same. The only way to actually tell is to deploy it at a few locations and then see.

I am quietly optimistic. A few months ago, when we started, this was just a dream. But now, I feel it is close to becoming a reality. We first wanted to solve the technology problems, and we have succeeded in solving most of those. Now, we need to test the waters of the real world. The baby needs to start walking and talking.

Thin Client-Thick Server | PermaLink | Comments (6)

Existing PCs
Most SMEs already use PCs, with Windows installed, with an average PC age of 1 to 2 years. Now that they have the PCs, it is going to be a tough proposition to ask them to switch over to a TC-TS concept, and that too with Linux. Perhaps some PCs could be converted into Thick Servers (and standby Thick Servers), but what about the rest? A possible solution could be to use these PCs as storage devices for enterprise storage purposes, probably using an architecture such as Lustre, for example.

Clinton Goveas (from clintongoveas.com)

Posted by Clinton Goveas

i have heard about this topic from last two years from you.i have tried to sell thin clients in the year 2000 and stopped due to some financial problems.but it is a lot easier now (compared to 2000).there are about 500 million PCs which can be used as thin clients instead of upgrading the hardware.the only thing missing is a neat software. it can be developed using some of the open source software like LTSP and VNC.. and the best market is large businesses which have large installations of PCs and apartments in cities.(even in developed countries).i feel that you can do a lot more(other than writing blogs).we can do our bit in software side.

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Digital Dashboard: Way Forward

We've made good progress on the RSS Aggregator. Deletion of entries also works. Have a problem with some duplicates coming in, but that should be solvable. The next step now is to deploy it within our company, so that people can create their own blogs. So, the next steps are:

- Add a Blogging tool (we could start initially with MovableType, and later either write our own, or use an open source blogging software)
- Improve the look of the RSS Aggregator
- Create a News Aggregator with support for the top 50-odd sites, so people have a daily collection of news to look at in the Aggregator
- Support multiple pages, so I can categorise RSS feeds
- Enable formation of multi-author blogs (group blogs) by aggregating feeds from different categories from people's blogs
- Enable access control so I can restrict who can see my blog and RSS feeds. This should integrate with LDAP also.
- Source events from other places eg. Calendar, Mail, etc.
- Think about how to filter RSS entries and post directly to the blog

Finally, be able to put together a hosted blogging and RSS Aggregation service, with integration with BlogStreet to provide a seamless information flow. Its a concept I call "Information Refinery" -- it needs a picture to describe it in more detail. Will do so soon.

BlogStreet: Way Forward

We turned a corner last week. We got the Blog Neighbourhood Analyser to work well (and much faster). We also did a very preliminary auto-categorisation of blogs, based on the information that's available. We may relook at this a little later, but for now that will suffice. Hoping to do a launch of BlogStreet soon (finally).

It will have the following components:
- Blog Neighbourhood Analyser: Given a URL, it gives the related blogs based on the blogrolls. Two options: real-time if the blog URL exists, or offline as an email if the blog does not exist. The latter service would be quite useful for bloggers who want to know which other blogs they shouldbe referring to, given what their blogroll is.
- Top 100: the top 100 blogs listing
- Blog Search: on the home pages of the blogs; simple keyword search; blogs botted daily
- Auto-Categorisation: this may not be great, but am hoping it will improve over time. The objective here is to identify the blog clusters. It is very difficult to actually categorise a blog. Given a blog, it should be possible to navigate through its linkages. Like navigating the universe through galaxies, solar systems and planets. Hub Blogs (the most popular ones) are the equivalent of galaxies.
- Iterations of the BlogBot and Blogroll analysis: so that we can keep growing the number of blogs. We are currently at 1500 blogs.

The next major development is going to be the BlogPost analysis. Given a blog, we need to get its archives, and from those pages, the actual posts. When we do a search, the posts are the ones we should be pointing to, and not the actual pages.

A few other ideas:
- provide an RSS-ifier
- think about using IM for notifications
- how to apply these ideas on blog analysis within the enterprise
- how can we open source this
- providing a neighbourhood service

Big Picture

Lets divide the world into Bloggers (B) and Non-Bloggers are of two types: the famous ones (1% of the Bs) and the rest of us (99%). The rest of us bloggers have a URL for our blog. One of things we'd like to know is our blog neighbourhood. This gives us the cluster of blogs which become our frame of reference. We want to use the cluster to discover new items of interest, new people we want to interact, etc.

NBs are 1000x the number of Bs. NBs want to find interesting ideas/people in the world of blogs. The starting point for them into the world of blogs are (a) the Top 100 blogs (b) search, which points them to a list of blogs. NBs can then set up their own "cluster" of blogs which they like and want to track. They can do two things: (a) use this cluster as the defined search space for keywords (b) create a n RSS aggregator and a private blog, where they can save relevant posts with their comments.

In both cases, given a set of blogs, the system can also do the following:
- provide a "what's hot" among them - links, keywords
- show newcomers in my neighbourhood
- track for new search results on pre-defined phrases / keywords
- show Amazon books which my cluster likes

The idea is to use a "trusted set of bloggers" (as Steven Johnson has called them) as information filters. This is the foundation for a knowledge sharing system, and a personal information management system.

A few questions to ponder:
- How many people would be interested in a service like this. Few people are interested in reading and fewer still in writing.
- This process calls for changes in the way people have been working.
- Will people post items? Most people still prefer to keep information to themselves.

The Cult of Linux - Forbes

Forbes has a series of articles on Linux, which take a "look at this software and what it has meant for competitors, customers and investors."

Tech Talk Writing Marathon

I did a lot of writing on Sunday. Spent about 10 hours writing about 16 Tech Talk columns for the next 3 weeks as part of the current series on Tech's 10X Tsunamis. Had not intend to write so much, but as I started, I got into a "zone", and things kept flowing. I realised through the day how much I love writing.

Used to maintain a daily diary when I was in college, but then that dropped off when I was working in the US. It is only of late that I have a notebook (paper) which I also use to pen diary notes.

The real writing boom came when I decided to start Tech Talk in November 2000 as a daily column. I had not really expected that it would continue beyond a few months - thought I'd run out of things to write! But, the desire to write made me read a lot more and then think about things. This sparked off the writing revolution in my life, which has now finally been capped with the weblog.

I like days when the ideas and thoughts just seemed to flow. Things just fall into place like the pieces of a jigsaw puzzle. And one emerges with a clearer understanding and some more insights into our wonderful world of technology.

Palladium: Control via Thick Server?

Dan Gillmor writes about Palladium, and expresses concern about Hollywood's pairing with the tech companies. He provides an overview of Palladium:


The basic idea is to wall off a portion of a computer's memory in a way that lets users run programs that, in theory, can't be touched by hackers, spies or other bad elements.

This would be achieved through a combination of hardware and software using robust encryption, or data-scrambling, techniques. A Palladium-equipped device would still run existing software and use existing hardware, but in that blocked-off area it would only run programs that met strict rules -- programs that effectively had been certified as safe. Again, in theory, it would lock out the kinds of attacks, such as viruses, that cause so much trouble today.

Maybe this is too simplistic a view, but my feeling is that server-based computing could do all this quite nicely. The client need to just an X/GUI Terminal. With LAN speeds of 100 Mbps (and rising WAN speeds), this approach would work well even in homes, and not be restricted to just the offices.

So, here's a thought for us: lets look at some of the nicer aspects of Palladium and see if we can enable those via our Thick Server.

China to build Windows clone

Writes the New Scientist:


China plans to create a computer desktop operating system that could rival Microsoft's Windows range, according to a Chinese news report. Some experts believe the code for such a system could be pulled together from "open source" software already available for free.

The Chinese newspaper People's Daily reports that a group of 18 Chinese companies and universities have begun working on the operating system. The report says it will be designed to have similar functionality to Microsoft's Windows 98 platform, and will be built to run Microsoft's office software. It should be ready within about a year.

The report indicates that developers are keen to undermine the dominance of Microsoft's software in China buy building an alternative standard operating system. It states: "The monopoly of foreign office software over the Chinese market will be broken."

The report does not clearly identify the OS base, but chances are that it could be Linux. My take: why wait for a year? A Linux-based Thin Client-Thick Server can get everyone started now! It does not have to run MS Office, just be compatible with it, as OpenOffice is.

An Ode to Disk Drives

Writes Lee Gomes in the WSJ in "An Ode to Computer Disk Drives":


Today, IBM makes a gigabyte drive the size of your thumb, and an entry-level Dell PC comes with a 20-gigabyte drive. Seagate says that over the next dozen or so years, it expects to increase drive capacities a thousandfold. That sounds preposterous, until you realize that's exactly what the industry has done in the past 12 or so years.

In three or four years, a few hundred dollars will buy a terabyte-size drive, or 1,000 gigabytes. Who needs that much storage? You do! Imagine one of those laptop DVD players, the sort first-class passengers get on airplanes, but all-digital, and holding 1,000 movies.

Emerging Technologies | PermaLink | Comments (1)

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TECH TALK: Tech's 10X Tsunamis: Present and Future 10X Forces

Technology has one thing common with time – it does not stand still. Its progress is relentless and even in challenging times like these, just like in the world's oceans, the churning continues. Old technologies and leaders have to make way for new as the battles in the marketplace rage on.

Last week, we looked at some of Tech's 10X forces which have driven change in the past two decades. Starting this week, we will look at some of the 10X forces in technology that we are seeing around us, and the impact they are having. Some of these 10X forces may today be in the realm of science fiction, but there are already enough indications to portend their becoming reality.

We will see how Google has become our second memory, how wireless technologies are building an envelope of pervasive connectivity, how websites are becoming program components thanks to the web services, and how open source is making even the biggest software companies rethink their strategies. We will ponder the growing trend towards outsourcing, examine the rising power of the countries in the East, and consider the rise of networks and intellectual capital.

We will see how USD 100 computers could dramatically alter the use of technology in emerging markets, how the world can move towards using technology like a utility, how weblogs and RSS can dramatically increase the information we process, and how business process standards will reduce friction between enterprises. We will also consider what happens when objects starts talking to other objects, and the screen you are reading this on goes 3D (or for that matter, becomes composed of electronic Ink).

(Two areas I will not be talking about are biotech and nanotech because I do not know enough about either of these areas. But, both are having a significant impact and will continue to do in the coming years. It is important, however, to watch out for developments in those areas, because in the coming decade, the three forces of infotech, biotech and nanotech will overlap.)

As we begin our journey exploring these disruptive innovations, it is useful to keep these words by Clay Christensen in mind (from his book “The Innovator’s Dilemma”):


Markets that do no exist cannot be analyzed: Suppliers and customers must discover them together. Not only are the market applications for disruptive technologies unknown at the time of their development, they are unknowable. The strategies and plans that managers formulate for confronting disruptive technological change, therefore, should be plans for learning and discovery rather than plans for execution. This is an important point to understand, because the managers who believe they know a market’s future will plan and invest very differently from those who recognize the uncertainties of a developing market.

Starting tomorrow, we begin our exploration of Tech’s 10X Tsunamis – present and future.

Tomorrow: Google: Our Other Memory

Tech Talk | PermaLink | Comments (1)

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Me
Entrepreneur, Mumbai, India, Emergic, Netcore, Internet, IndiaWorld, Sify, IIT-Bombay, ColumbiaUniv ... More [Write to Me]

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Affordable Computing and ICT for Development
India's Digital Infrastructure (May 2007)
Envisioning Tomorrow's World (Mar 2007)
Computing for the Next Billion (Jun 2006)
City Wi-Fi Networks (Apr 2006)
Microsoft Live (Nov 2005)
Internet Tea Leaves (Sep 2005)
Next-Generation Networks (Jul 2005)
Disruptions (Jul 2005)
The Mobile Phone Platform (Feb 2005)
Microsoft, Bandwidth and Centralised Computing (Jan 2005)
Computing for Broadband 101 (Jan 2005)
Tomorrow's World (Nov 2004)
CommPuting Grid (Nov 2004)
Massputers, Redux (Oct 2004)
The Network Computer (Oct 2004)
Reinventing Computing (Aug 2004)
Tech Trends (Jul 2004)
Letter to Arun Shourie (Apr 2004)
As India Develops (Mar 2004)
My Mental Model (Dec 2003)
The Next Billion (Sep 2003)
Transforming Rural India 2 (Jul 2003)
The Discovery of India (Jun 2003)
Transforming Rural India (Mar 2003)
The Rs 5,000 PC Ecosystem (Jan 2003)
Disruptive Bridges (Nov 2002)
India Post: Ideas for Tomorrow (Nov 2002)
Technology's Next Markets (Oct 2002)
Server-based Computing (Jul 2002)
India's Next Decade (Apr 2002)
The Digital Divide (Apr 2002)
The Real Wireless Revolution (Mar 2002)
Envisioning a New India (Jan 2002)
Emerging Technologies, Emerging Markets (Jan 2002)
The Indianised Linux Desktop (Nov 2001)
Mass Market Internet (Nov 2000)

Enterprise Software and SMEs
The Coming Age of ASPs (May 2005)
SMEs and Technology (Oct 2003)
The Death and Rebirth of Email (Aug 2003)
IT's Future (Aug 2003)
Rethinking the Desktop (Sep 2002)
Rethinking Enterprise Software (Jun 2002)
Emerging Enterprises and Emergent Networks (Mar 2002)
Web Services (Nov 2001)
Alt.Software (Oct 2001)
The Intelligent, Real-Time Enterprise (June 2001)
Enterprise Software (Mar 2001)
SME Tech Utility (Feb 2001)
Software and SMEs (Jan 2001)
The Intelligent Enterprise: Integrating CRM, SCM and EIP (Jan 2001)

Information Management
The Emerging Internet (May 2007)
The Now-New-Near Web (Sep 2006)
Mobile Internet (Aug 2006)
Video on the Internet (Jun 2006)
India Internet and Mobile (Feb 2006)
Rethinking Newspapers (Jan 2006)
Web 2.0 (Oct 2005)
The Future of Search (Mar 2005)
Web 2.0 Conference (Oct 2004)
Thinking A New Food Portal (Sep 2004)
Rethinking Search (Jan 2004)
India.com 2.0 (Jan 2004)
The Publish-Subscribe Web (Jun 2003)
Constructing the Memex (May 2003)
RSS, Blogs and Beyond (Feb 2003)
Blogging (Feb 2002)
Harnessing Information (Oct 2001)
News Refinery (May 2001)

Entrepreneurship
When Bad Things Happen (Jan 2007)
Ventures and Capital (Dec 2006)
15 Years as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2006)
Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans (May 2006)
Let's Build a Business (Apr 2006)
The Value of Vision (Mar 2006)
Vision and Worries (Oct 2005)
Bootstrapping a Business (Oct 2005)
India Needs More Entrepreneurs (Aug 2005)
Dotcom Nostalgia (Jun 2005)
When Things Go Wrong (Apr 2005)
My Life as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Growth Challenge (Sep 2004)
Creating Options (Sep 2004)
From Employee to Entrepreneur (Aug 2004)
A Tale of Two Summers (Aug 2004)
Crucible Experiences (May 2004)
The Company (May 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Attributes (Nov 2003)
An Entrepreneur's Early Days (Sep 2003)
Reflections on Ideas and Entrepreneurship (Jul 2003)
Entrepreneur's Enigmas (Jan 2003)
The Entrepreneur's Delights (Sep 2002)
Life as an Entrepreneur (Oct 2001)
Leadership Lessons from Lagaan (Aug 2001)
Entrepreneurial Learnings (July 2001)
Entrepreneurship (Mar 2001)
The IndiaWorld Story (1997-8)

Abhishek (my son)
Photos
Letter to a Two-Year-Old (Apr 2007)
Father to Son (Apr 2006)
Letter to a 2005 Baby (Jun 2005)
The Making of Abhishek (Jul 2005)

Moreover
Facebook (May 2007)
Doing Education Right (May 2007)
Reflections from a Dubai Trip (Apr 2007)
Creating India's New Cities (Apr 2007)
India's Challenges (Mar 2007)
3GSM 2007 (Feb 2007)
Demo 2007 (Feb 2007)
A Tale of Two Covers (Feb 2007)
3GSM Mumbai (Feb 2007)
2007 Tech Trends (Jan 2007)
The Best of 2006 (Dec 2006)
Best of Tech Talk 2006 (Dec 2006)
Cyworld (Nov 2006)
Two 2.0 Events (Nov 2006)
Two-Sided Markets (Nov 2006)
The Rise of YouTube (Oct 2006)
Gandhigiri (Oct 2006)
Education and Reservation (May 2006)
Four Blog Years (May 2006)
Fooled by Randomness (May 2006)
Blue Ocean Strategy (May 2006)
Revolution on the Roads (Apr 2006)
The MySpace Story (Mar 2006)
A Presentation at PC Forum (Mar 2006)
Extreme Competition (Mar 2006)
3GSM World Congress 2006 (Feb 2006)
DEMO 2006 (Feb 2006)
India Rising (Jan 2006)
2006 Tech Trends (Jan 2006)
The Best of Tech Talk 2005 (Dec 2005)
The Best of 2005 (Dec 2005)
Trains, Planes and Mobiles (Dec 2005)
Peter Drucker: Management's Newton (Nov 2005)
India Empowered (Oct 2005)
Rajasthan Ruminations 2 (Sep 2005)
Building a Better India (Sep 2005)
South Korea's IT839 (Jul 2005)
Shift-Ctrl (Jul 2005)
Best of Future Tech (Feb 2005)
Multi-Model Minds (Feb 2005)
The Best of 2004 (Jan 2005)
On Watching Swades (Jan 2005)
The Best of Tech Talk 2004 (Dec 2004)
India Trends (Dec 2004)
An American Journey (Aug 2004)
Black Swans (Aug 2004)
A Train Journey (Jun 2004)
An Agenda for the Next Government (May 2004)
Two Blog Years (May 2004)
Rajasthan Ruminations (Feb 2004)
Technology and the Indian Elections (Feb 2004)
2003-04 (Dec 2003)
Random Musings (Sep 2003)
Useful Concepts (July 2003)
Dear Non-Resident Indian (July 2003)
Tech's 10X Tsunamis (July 2002)
An Indian in China (Mar 2002)
Disruptive Technologies (Aug 2001)
Innovation (Aug 2001)
Good Books

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Presentations
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- CIT 2004 (Jan 2004)
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- Pune CSI Open-Source Workshop (Sep 2003)
- Sydney ICT Workshop (Jul 2003)
- Netcore (Mar 2003)
- Emergent Democracy (MP Govt, Feb 2003)
- Vision for Digitally Bridged India (Dec 2002)
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- Open-Source for eGovernance (Oct 2002)
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